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Super Rugby AU Final: Brumbies v Reds Preview

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The inaugural Super rugby AU season will reach its conclusion this Saturday with the Brumbies and Reds squaring off for the title at the GIO Stadium.

Image copyright – Steve Haag Sports

Two women looking excitedly at cellphone
Well, Super Rugby AU will come to what should be a thrilling conclusion this coming Saturday with Dan McKellar’s Brumbies taking on Brad Thorn’s Reds. 
The hosts head into this one as hot favourites to win the title but will be aware of the threat this Reds side posses especially after the Queenslanders beat them during the closing round of the regular season.

Brumbies v Queensland Reds
Saturday 19 September
GIO Stadium

To Win (80 Mins)
Brumbies 7/10
Draw 20/1
Reds 12/10

Brumbies (-2.5) 9/10
Reds (+2.5) 9/10

The Brumbies have been bar far and away the most consistent team in the ‘comp with the men from Canberra winning six of their eight games on the way to finishing three points above the Reds at the close of the regular season.

It was rather important that the Brumbies managed to top the standings as it saw them avoid the play-off round, which the Reds had to compete into advance to the final. It means, while the Reds are nursing a couple injuries and bruised bodies, the Brumbies will head into the grand final fresh and raring to go. 

Jockeys Ride HorsesReds
Brad Thorn’s men have come full circle since the former All Black took over as he has taken the Queensland based franchise from Super Rugby canon-fooder to an actual functioning unit that is capable of dominating Australian rugby for at least the next half-decade.

The Reds have enjoyed an immaculate season thus far winning five of their eight Super Rugby AU games before beating the Rebels 25-13 in last weekend’s play-off. 

That play-off victory came at a cost, however, with a number of key players picking up injuries; star back Jorda Petaia sustained a concussion and has little chance of playing while his centre partner, Chris Feauai-Sautia, sustained what looked to be a serious groin injury. While they have solid centre cover in the form of Hunter Paismai, they will need to find a decent partner for him should the aforementioned duo be unable to take the field.

The Stats Head That Matter
The two sides have played each other three times this year with the Brumbies winning two (27-24 and 22-20) and the Reds winning one (26-7).

The Brumbies have won three of the last five games between the two sides, 

The two Super Rugby AU clashes between the two sides accrue less than 43 total points.

The Reds have averaged 23 per game against the Brumbies in Super Rugby AU while the Brumbies have averaged 14.5 points. 

Verdict: Reds (+)
I’m expecting a major upset here and will be having a big strike on the plus line and a modest punt on the Reds win.

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