8 August
Ben Shelton 48/100 | Alexei Popyrin 16/10
Ben Shelton got his Montreal campaign off to a fine start with a straight-sets win over double’s partner Alexander Bublik.
He was actually broken early on but managed to secure the break-back as Bublik was serving for the set. He never looked back, dominating the Kazakh with his brand of aggressive first-strike tennis.
Shelton served nine aces in the match, hitting a spectacular 30 winners to just 11 unforced errors. It was the perfect follow-up to his solid semifinal run at last week’s Citi Open.
A US Open semi-finalist last season, Shelton has enjoyed a decent – if unspectacular – campaign. He won his maiden clay-court title in Houston but bombed for the remainder of the clay-court swing. But his fourth round run at Wimbledon seemed to signal a shift in momentum and he validated his decision to skip the Paris Olympics with an impressive semifinal run in Washington.
These North American hardcourt events will likely become the bread and butter of his career and he will take some stopping this week.
I have always felt that 25-year-old Aussie Alexei Popyrin is a bit of an underachiever. On the surface, he appears to have everything. He has a really potent serve and powerful groundstrokes. He also moves brilliantly and has an extremely delicate touch at the net.
He just hasn’t been able to find the consistency in his game over the years. But he enjoyed a solid 2023 campaign, winning his 2nd career title in Umag to go with a maiden ATP 1000 quarterfinal run in Cincinnati (showing off some North American hardcourt prowess).
But this year has been a bit of a struggle. He reached the semifinals in Qatar and picked up the scalp of Andrey Rublev in Monte-Carlo. But there hasn’t been too much else to crow about.
That being said, he did push Novak Djokovic to four sets in both of their Grand Slam meetings this season. And he looked utterly brilliant in his opening victory against Tomas Machac, winning a simply staggering 96% of his first-serve points.
He hit 18 winners to just eight unforced errors in a performance that could galvanize his season.
The Verdict: Popyrin to win in three sets 42/10
Shelton won their only previous meeting, seeing off Popyrin in straight sets at last year’s Aussie Open. This has the makings of a really tight game. Both players looked excellent in their openers, serving brilliantly and hitting far more winners to unforced errors.
Popyrin has the power to trade blows with Shelton from the baseline and he has the touch to take the American into some uncomfortable areas. I think there’s a real chance that Popyrin could score an upset here.
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