Australian racing tips – Monday 7 November 2022 – Scone

Best Bet: LIGHTFAST (Race 5)
Value Bet: TANDEM (Race 6)

Jackpot (race 4 – 7)

Cost: R54.00  

Race 4

AFRICAN DAISY is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys and had finished second twice before being a tad disappointing last time out, finishing just over six lengths behind the winner over nine furlongs and was immediately rested for 20 weeks. She tried to go from jump to wire that day, but hung out on the home turn and down the home straight. She returns here after having had the two barrier trials, finishing fourth in the latest and gets gate five. She will be hoping to bounce back to her better form today.

TRANSFORMATION showed solid improvement to end up in sixth place last time out over six furlongs, just over two lengths back from the winner, but that was at stronger centre. The gelding battled all the way down to the wire that day and from one gate outside the top choice, he should threaten the former.

ELLA TE AMA is another 4yr old filly in the race. She had her consistency rewarded with a win last time out over a mile, when putting 4.2L between herself and the opposition. She took up the running approaching the home turn in that contest and stayed on well to hold off all the late challengers, and the form of that race has been franked. She has a handy draw three and should be included in all bets.

Race 5

LIGHTFAST’S three runs had produced a win and two second-place finishes before being a bit disappointing when finishing seventh last time out over six furlongs, six lengths off the winner, but she raced three wide without cover that day and the going was very heavy, so that effort is best ignored. He has his first run since a 22 rest, but did finish third in his only barrier trial and whilst facing a wide fourteen draw, he should use his early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy.

EXTRA FLASH has finished second in his last three runs, the latest over 1100M, just under a length and a half behind the victor. He was returning from a 23-week break that day and raced up with the leaders before being chased down late. He on the other hand a useful draw two and could emerge as the biggest threat to the top pick. 

UNPREDICTED jumped awkwardly, but recovered quickly to take the lead, but was hampered shortly after that and then bumped at the 400M mark when finishing fourth in his latest outing, 6.2L adrift of the winner, so that effort should be dismissed. The gelding has a wideish draw eight, but on the plus side he will get 3kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice.

Race 6

The day’s value bet, TANDEM is a 4yr old filly taking on males and has won two of her last three starts and finished second in the other, the latest victory coming over six furlongs by just under two and a half lengths and the form of that race has been franked. She has pulled gate seven and could prove hard to topple.

TIMPERLEY is drawn one inside the former and produced a powerful finish to just fail to overhaul the winner in the shadow of the post in his last start over 1100M, denied victory by a short-head.

HARD TO DISMISS is another 4yr old filly. She followed up her penultimate run victory over seven furlongs with a ninth place finish when stepping up to 1500M, four and a half lengths back from the winner, but it should be noted that she overraced and hung out approaching the home turn, so that effort is not as bad as it first looks. From her cosy draw three, she should not be easily overlooked.

Race 7

Two 3yr old and a 4yr old filly could fight out the finish to this race and complete the trifecta, but QUILTING is taken to lead the trio home. She showed plenty of toe to win a neck when making her debut over five furlongs. She would have learnt from that experience and with the natural improvement that can be expected, she could be the one that they all have to beat. She does return from a 21-week spell, but she has had the benefit of three barrier trials, winning the latest. She will have to deal with a wide gate fifteen, but as she has shown, she is a speedy sort who should be able to work her way across without using up too much gas.

LEGGY POINT also won first time out, but in her case over 1100M by 1.3L. She raced four wide without cover that day and hung out approaching the home turn, but she still managed to finish her race off strongly. She has not fared too well either with her draw, only one inside the top selection, but she in turn is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start to pick off the front runners over the latter part of the race.

MISS HOFF put her disappointing penultimate run over six furlongs behind her when finishing second next time out over five furlongs, just a half-length behind the winner, when returning from a 24-week spell and has finished fifth in a subsequent barrier trial. She has pulled a wide draw nine, but she should keep the top two picks honest.