Winning Form bring you all of their best bets and tips from Wednesday’s racing taking place at Kensington.
Best Bet: TOOMUCHTOBEAR (Race 6)
Value Bet: A VERY FINE RED (Race 7)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7)
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
4 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
2 | 6 | 1 | 11 |
8 | 1 |
| 2 |
Cost: R54.00
Race 4
ARMATREE is seldom far off the action and was making good late progress when ending up in second place last time out over 1300M, 1.3L behind the winner, suggesting that the extra ground on offer here will be to his liking. He gets a handy draw four and the blinkers are refitted for today’s outing. If this move has the desired effect, he could be the one that they all have to beat.
BROOKSPIRE is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys, but she followed up her penultimate run victory over a mile with an eighth-place finish next time out when stepping up to ten furlongs, two lengths back from the winner. She jumped awkwardly that day and was then hampered on the turn, so did well to finish as close to the winner as she did. She returns from a 16-week rest, but has had the benefit of two barrier trials, finishing second in the latest. She has cracked pole position and should give the males a good run for their money.
GRENADO is the stable companion to the latter and has finished closer to the winner in each of his last three runs, the latest when fifth over six furlongs, 1.8L off the victor. He jumped awkwardly and then did not get the clearest of passages in the home straight that day, so the effort was encouraging. The colt jumps from gate three and makes a solid back-up for the yard.
Race 5
SUNRISE RUBY completed her hat-trick since returning from a lengthy 40-week absence when winning a neck last time out over six furlongs. She only saw daylight at the 200M mark that day, but once through the gap, she finished strongly to win going away. She has a cosy gate two and the quartet of victories is very much on the cards.
CALGARY QUEEN has consistent formlines to her name and although recorded as finishing seventh in her last outing over seven furlongs, she was just three lengths adrift of the winner, this despite being bumped at the 200M pole. The form of that race has been franked to boost her claims for top spot. She has her first run since a 16-week break but did finish fourth in her only barrier trial to showcase her well-being. From draw seven, she should be right up there in the mix.
SELEQUE had nothing go her way when finishing fourth last time out over 1300M, one and a half lengths back from the winner. She overraced in the early stages and had to be steadied at the 700M mark, before being denied a clear run at the 50M pole. She gets draw three and will have 2kgs removed from her allocated weight courtesy of her claiming apprentice to aid her cause. As such, she should be included in all bets.
Race 6
The day’s best bet, TOOMUCHTOBEAR has his hat-trick run after a win over seven furlongs and the latest over 1500m by 2.3L. That last victory was full of merit as he jumped awkwardly and then overraced in the middle stages, before kicking clear of the opposition at the 250M mark. The race was effectively over as a contest from that point and he was eased down approaching the line. From draw five, he could prove difficult to topple here.
OFF SHAW is drawn one outside the top choice and went from jump to wire when making solid improvement to win his last start over 1500M, albeit by just a short-head. It should also be noted that his jockey dropped his crop at the 100M mark that day and with having 2kgs taken off his back for the services of his claiming apprentice, he could prove to the biggest threat to the top pick.
BLACK BOLT was slow away and had to be restrained shortly after the start before ending up in second place last time out over seven furlongs, three lengths back from the winner. He has a wideish gate nine, but he should be doing his best work late and should be involved in the finish.
Race 7
A 3yr old and a 4yr old filly could fight out the finish to this race and complete the exacta, but today’s value bet, A VERY FINE RED is taken to end up in the winner’s box. She has only had the two runs to date, winning on debut over 1100M and then showing plenty of speed to finish fourth next time out over six furlongs, just under a length behind the winner. She returns from an 18-week absence but has had the two barrier trials, finishing second in both of them. She is still learning how to race, but from draw three, she could bounce back to winning ways here.
STORMBORN followed up her win over five furlongs three runs back with two second-place finishes over the same trip, one and a half lengths back in the latest. She only secured a clear run at the 220M pole that day, but nevertheless finished off her race strongly. She is drawn one inside the top pick and should be right up there in the firing line.
JAWWAAL missed out on his hat-trick when finishing second in his last outing over 1100N, 1.8L back from the winner and was immediately rested for 48 weeks. He did battle all the way down to the wire that day which was encouraging. He returns here after winning his only barrier trial and the fact that his connections have brought him back into racing after such a lengthy absence would seem to suggest that they believe that he still has something more to offer them. From gate nine, he should not be easily overlooked.
