Winning Form brings us their best bets and tips from Royal Randwick, Australia on Saturday 23 October 2021.
Best Bet: ENTRIVIERE (Race 9)
Value Bet: BELLUCI BABE (Race 10)
Jackpot (race 7 – 10).
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
3 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
2 | 1 | 10 | 9 |
6 | 4 | 11 | |
Cost: R54.00
Race 7.
ZEYREK has solid staying form to his name and finished well when fourth last time out in a Group 1 event over this c&d, one and a half lengths behind the winner. He will have to negotiate draw eleven, but he should be right up there when they hit the line.
CEPHEUS is drawn one outside the top choice and made marked improvement to finish third in a Group 3 race last time out over ten furlongs, just under a length and a half back from the victor. He was friendless in the betting markets that day, but finished off his race well, suggesting that he should enjoy the extra ground on offer here. The form of that race has been franked and he has won a subsequent barrier trial.
ACHIEVER tried to go from jump to wire before ending up in third place last time out over ten furlongs, just over a half length behind the winner. From his handy draw three, he is likely to adopt similar tactics today and could prove difficult to reel in over the closing stages.
Race 8.
COASTWATCH is seldom far off the action and jumped awkwardly before finishing second in his latest outing in a Group 2 event over 1500M, just a half length behind the winner. He hit the front at the 150M mark that day and was only run out of it very late. The colt attracted plenty of betting support that day and despite facing a wideish draw nine, he will be hoping to make amends today.
HILAL put his disappointing penultimate effort firmly behind him when winning his latest start over 1500M by half a length, notwithstanding overracing in the middle stages and having to be restrained off the heels of other runners at the 800M pole, before coming four wide into the home straight. He jumps from gate six and could be the biggest threat to the top pick.
COTEHELE won his penultimate run over 1300M and then finished fourth next time out when stepping up to 1500M, 2.7L adrift of the winner. He has an even better draw two and has his peak run since returning from a 17 week rest.
Race 9.
The day’s best bet, ENTRIVIERE has consistent formlines to her name, winning her penultimate start, a Group 2 race over six furlongs and then finishing third last time out over seven furlongs, 0.7L behind the winner, also in a Group 2 event. She came three wide into the home stretch, before finished powerfully to just be denied victory. That effort was made even more encouraging by the fact that she was found to be in season on the day. She has also finished second in a subsequent barrier trial and whist jumping from a wide gate eleven out of fifteen, she could prove difficult to beat.
The same comment on consistency applies to ICEBATH, who although recorded as finishing ninth last time out in a Group 1 event over a mile, she was only three lengths back from the winner. She jumped awkwardly that day and found herself at the back of the field and was then held up between the 400M and 100M marks, so, under the circumstance, she did well to finish as close to the winner as she did.
NUDGE’S last three outings have yielded a win, a second and a third place finish in her latest start over six furlongs, a neck behind the winner in a Group 3 race over six furlongs. She was returning from a 15 week break that day and whilst facing a wide draw ten, she will be ridden by ex-SA jockey Glyn Schofield, so she will get all the necessary assistance from the saddle.
Race 10.
BELLUCI BABE is a 5yr old mare taking on the boys, but she followed up her penultimate run victory over 1100M with a third place finish last time out over this c&d, 1.2L off the winner. She was bumped entering the home straight that day and then did not get the clearest of passages in the dash down to the wire. She gets gate five and has her peak run since returning from a 13 week absence. As such, she is taken to be the value bet on the day’s card.
GRAVINA has cracked pole position and won over this c&d three runs back and then ended up in second spot in his latest outing, again over the c&d, just a head behind the winner. He too has his peak outing after a slightly longer 14 week rest.
QUANTICO has posted two solid last efforts, winning the latest over 1300m by half a length, despite overracing in the early stages and being held up between the 400M and 300M poles. He is another one having his peak run after returning from a lengthy 38 week absence and although having to overcome a wide gate ten, he should be included in all bets.
