Australian racing tips – Monday 11 April 2022 – Tamworth

Best Bet: AUDETTE (Race 5)

Value Bet: TANGO STEPZ (Race 7)

Jackpot (race 4 – 7).

Cost: R54.00  

Race 4

Two 5yr old mares could fight out the finish to this race and complete the exacta, but JOCAT is given the nod for top spot. She finished second last time out over five furlongs, just under a length behind the winner when returning from a 78 week absence. She struck the front at the 150M mark that day and was only run out of it very late, despite hanging out in the home straight. She gets a handy draw four and will get 1.5kgs taken off her back thanks to her claiming apprentice and the fact that her connections have brought her back into racing after such a lengthy absence would seem to suggest that they believe that she still has something more to offer them.

LAGO DI BRAIES is drawn in gate seven and was slow away and came four wide into the home straight when finishing third on debut over six furlongs, 1.8L back from the winner. She would have learnt from that experience and with the natural improvement that can be expected, she should be right up there when they hit the line.

ROYAL CONFESSION is the stable companion of the top pick and has consistent formlines to his name, finishing fourth last time out over seven furlongs, 0.8L off the winner and the form of that race has stood up well with two runners out of that contest subsequently winning. He returns from a 26 week spell, but has had two barrier trials, finishing second in the latest and makes a solid back-up for the yard jumping from gate two. There are three unraced runners in the field, so as is always the case in these types of races, a keen eye should be kept on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether any of the connection believe that they can win first time out. Any betting support for a runner or runners should be respected.

Race 5

Two 3yr old and one 4yr old filly could dominate the finish to this race and secure the trifecta, but the day’s best bet, AUDETTE looks to be the one that they all have to beat. She has won both of her starts to date, the first over five furlongs and then by 1.8L next time out when stepping up to 1100M and the form of that race has been franked. She finished powerfully after coming three wide into the home straight that day and on that effort, she seems likely to appreciate the extra ground on offer today. Her draw three will do her no harm.

DECADENT TALE had finished third three time in a row before breaking her maiden by 2.2L last time out over 1150M when returning from a 27 week break. She jumps from gate seven, but is a speedy sort who could emerge as the biggest danger to the top choice.

WHAT A PEACH followed up her penultimate run victory over six furlongs with an eighth place finish next time out when stepping up to 1300M, 8.3L adrift of the victor, but she was hampered at the start and overraced in the early stages in that race, before coming the widest of them all into the home stretch. She is drawn one inside the latter and should be involved in the finish.

Race 6

ACROPHOBIC is seldom far off the action and finished third last time out over a mile, 0.8L off the winner.  He was dropped out of the race from a wide draw that day and come very wide into the home straight, but unleashed a powerful finish to just fail to overhaul the frontrunners. The form of that race appears to be strong as three runners out of that contest have subsequently won. He faces a wide gate ten, but he should be doing his best work late. The gelding has also finished fifth in a subsequent barrier trial.

BUFFET BUSTER raced just behind the leaders and then kicked clear of the field at the 150M mark, when going on to complete his hat-trick last time out over 1425M by just under a length and the form of that race has been franked. He gets a cozy draw two and should keep the top pick honest. Although

PREVISO is recorded as finishing eleventh last time out over seven furlongs, he was just three lengths off the winner and that was also at a stronger center. He raced three wide the whole way in that race and not surprisingly had little to offer in the home straight. He has a wideish draw eight, but nevertheless, he should be included in all bets.

Race 7

TANGO STEPZ is a 5yr old mare taking on males, but she was hampered at the start and forced to race four wide into the home stretch last time out to end up in fourth place over five furlongs, 4.8L behind the winner. She did however stay on well that day and the form of that race has stood up well with four runners out of that contest subsequently winning. She returns from a 23 week break and has not had a barrier trial, but she has won twice when returning from a rest, so this should not be viewed as a disadvantage. From her useful gate four, she is taken to be value bet on the day’s card.

I’M A CRACKER has his first run since a longer 30 week absence and has also not had a barrier trial, but he has consistent formlines to his name, finishing second in his latest outing over five furlongs, just a half length back from the winner and the form of that race has been franked. He is drawn the widest of them all in gate twelve, but he should be doing his best work late.

WATER DOVE is drawn one inside the latter and is a 4yr old filly who had finished second in her last three runs over this sprint distance prior to ending up in eight place last time out when stepping up to 1100M, 5.3L behind the winner. She has her peak run since returning from a 47 week break and should use her early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy to be competitive in this line-up.