Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Monday’s racing coming your way from Muswellbrook 17 October 2022.
Best Bet: SUSSU (Race 8)
Value Bet: BURRANEER BUOY (Race 7)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8).
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
2 | 3 | 10 | 7 |
12 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
14 | 4 | 2 |
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Cost: R54.00
Race 5.
HOKU had finished second twice in a row before ending up in fourth place last time out over five furlongs, just over two and a half lengths behind the winner, when returning from an 18 week break. He made good late progress that day, suggesting that the extra ground on offer today will be to his liking. From draw seven, he should be right up there when they hit the line.
Two 3yr old fillies could chase him home, with the slight preference going to MISS FABERGE who was bumped at the start, but recovered well to race up in fourth place, only to come four wide into the home straight in her last outing over seven furlongs, 2.2L back from the winner. That was however at a stronger center and whilst drawn wide in gate eighteen, she should use her early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy.
WILLINGA KARISMA finished fourth on debut over a mile, just under a length off the victor, but she was hampered at the 100M mark, so that effort was encouraging and the form of that race has stood up well with two runners out of that contest subsequently winning. She would have learnt from that experience and with the natural improvement that can be expected, she should be considered a big runner here.
Race 6.
TIDAL RUSH showed solid improvement to win his last start over seven furlongs by just under a half length. He was slow away that day, but then quickly shot into the lead and fought off all the late challengers in the dash down to the line. From pole position he may prove to be difficult to reel in over the closing stages.
THE MYSTERY GUY was returning from a 28 week absence when finishing third last time out over 1450M, just a head behind the winner. The gelding raced just behind the leaders in that contest and just failed to run them down over the latter stages. He gets gate five and should keep the top pick honest.
HARD TO DISMISS is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys, but she had finished third in her last three outings before winning her last start over seven furlongs by just over a length and a half. She found herself in last place in that contest, forcing her to come five wide approaching the home turn, but delivered a powerful finish to mow down the front runners. The form of that race has been franked and from draw seven, she should be included in all bets.
Race 7.
BURRANEER BUOY followed up his penultimate run victory over six furlongs with a second place finish next time out over 1300M, just under a half length behind the winner. He struck the front at the 300M pole in that race and was only run out of it very late. He jumps from gate six and is made the value bet on the day’s card.
PACHECO is seldom far off the action, finishing third in his latest outing over six furlongs, just over two and a half lengths off the winner. The gelding stayed on well that day and from his useful draw two, he should turn in another creditable performance today.
SUPER EXTREME attracted plenty of betting support when finishing a head second last time out over six furlongs, suggesting that he had been showing good work back home. He has his peak run since returning from a 23 week absence and will have to deal with a wide draw sixteen, but he is a speedy sort who should be able to work his way across without using up too much energy.
Race 8.
The day’s best bet, SUSSU has only had the three runs to date, winning his penultimate start over five furlongs and then finishing fourth last time out over the same sprint trip, just a length back from the winner, but he raced three wide without cover that day, kicking clear at the 200M mark before being run out of it late. He has cracked pole position and could prove hard to topple.
MOVIN’ DENMAN has finished closer to the winner in each of his last three runs, the latest when second over 1100M, just a short-head behind of the victor and the form of that race has stood up well with three runners out of that event subsequently winning. He will have to negotiate gate ten, but he will be hoping to go one better today and could emerge as the former’s biggest danger.
BROGANS CREEK had his consistency rewarded with a 1.6L victory last time out over five furlongs and the form of that race has been franked. He will have to overcome a wider gate twelve, but nevertheless, he should be involved in the finish.
