Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Thursday’s racing coming your way from Coffs Harbour on 30 November 2023.
Best Bet: TALMA I LOVE HER (Race 5)
Value Bet: BABAYKA (Race 7)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8)
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
8 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
3 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 |
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| 6 |
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Cost: R90.00
Race 5
TALMA I LOVE HER has posted two solid last runs, the latest when second over seven furlongs, one and a half lengths behind the winner, but he raced three wide without cover that day before striking the front at the 200M mark, only to be run out of it late and on that effort, he is likely to appreciate the drop in trip. He has a handy draw three and will get the blinkers re-fitted. If this move has the desired effect, he should be a big runner here and is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card.
ELECTRIC EVIE is a 4-year-old filly taking on the boys, but she has consistent formlines to her name, finishing second last time out over 1300M, just a head behind the winner. She showed plenty of toe that day, only to be snared in the shadow of the post. She has a wideish draw eight, but she should use her early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy.
CUISENAIRE has cracked pole position and is seldom far off the action, finishing third last time out over seven furlongs, just under two lengths back from the winner. He made good late progress that day and with 3kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice, he should turn in another honest performance today. There is an unraced runner in the field, so keep an eye on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether his connections believe that they can win first time out. Any betting support for him should be respected.
Race 6
There are three unraced runners in the field, so as suggested above, a keen eye should be kept on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether any of the connections believe that they can win first time out. Any betting support for a runner or runners should be respected. However, of the raced runners, THE EXTREME CAT may well prove to be the best. He has finished second in his last two starts over 1100M, the latest when 2.3L back from the winner. He battled all the way down to the wire on that occasion and will be hoping to go one better here. He has his first run for his new trainer and returns from a 31 week break, but has finished second in his only barrier trial. If fully settled into her new surroundings, he should give a good account of himself here, despite facing a wide gate nine.
SCOTLAND had nothing go his way when finishing second last time out over 1300M, 0.8L off the winner. The gelding overraced in the early and middle stages, was held up at the top of the home straight, before hanging in down the stretch. He does return here from a 16-week rest without having had the benefit of a barrier trial, so his fitness will have to be taken on trust, but he gets gate six and will have 4kgs removed from his allocated weight courtesy of his claiming apprentice.
MAWSONS EXPEDITION showed plenty of speed when finishing second on debut over five furlongs, one and a half lengths behind the winner. He would have learnt from that experience and with the natural improvement that can be expected and from a useful draw four, he should be included in all bets.
Race 7
The day’s value bet, BABAYKA was hampered shortly after the start and overraced in the early and middle stages, but stayed on well to finish fourth in his latest outing over 1100M, 3.8L back from the winner. The gelding has pulled a useful gate three and could prove hard to topple.
A 3yr old and a 4yr old filly could chase him home, with the slight preference going to LA BOQUERIA who won over five furlongs three runs back, finished seventh in her penultimate start over 1100M and then ninth in her latest outing over five furlongs, 2.8L behind the winner, when returning from a 21-week break. It should however be noted that she was bumped at the start, but still managed to battle all the way down to the wire. She will have to negotiate a wide draw nine, but should be right up there when they hit the line, MRS ED has consistent formlines to her name and tried to go from jump to wire before ending up in fourth place last time out over five furlongs, just over a length and a half behind the winner and the form of that race has been franked. She gets draw seven and should not be easily overlooked.
Race 8
Two fillies and a mare could dominate the finish to this race and complete the trifecta, but SNOW FALCON is taken to lead the pack home. She won her last start over five furlongs by a head when having her second run for her new trainer and returning from a 22-week spell. She finished strongly in that event and although drawn wideish in gate eight, she will be hoping to chalk up a quick double today.
MOSKEETA was slow away and overraced in the early stages, had to be steadied off the heels of another runner at the 700M mark, before being held up at the top of the home straight when finishing seventh last time out over six furlongs, just under four lengths behind the winner, so she had plenty of excuses. She returns from a lengthy 44-week spell without having had a barrier trial and is drawn wide in gate twelve, but nevertheless, she should not be overlooked.
ELOHEH has consistent formlines to her name and followed up her penultimate run victory over 1100M with a second-place finish next time out over five furlongs, just a head back from the winner. She delivered a powerful finish that day and from the widest draw of them all in gate fourteen, she is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start to pick off the front runners over the latter part of the race.
