Australian racing tips – Tuesday 3 October 2023 – Goulbourn

Race 5

MISS GHENT is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she has finished closer to the winner in each of her last four starts, the latest when third over a mile, just under a half length behind the winner.  She raced three wide without cover that day, but still managed to stay on well over the closing stages and the form of that race has stood up well with two runners out of that contest subsequently winning. She faces a wide draw nine, but she still looks to be the one that they all must beat.

STASERA is a 4yr old filly who has also finished closer to the victory in all of her last starts, but in her case, three outings, the latest when second over a mile, beaten just a short-head. She tried to go from jump to wire that day and was only grabbed in the shadow of the post. She jumps from one gate inside the top choice and is likely to attempt similar tactics today.

AMIGOS NO MORE finished well, but the line came just too soon when finishing second last time out over 1500M, beaten just a head. From his kinder draw two, he should be included in all bets.

Race 6

There are eight unraced runners in the field, so as is always the case in these types of races, a keen eye should be kept on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether any of the connections believe that they can win first time out. Any betting support for a runner or runners should be respected. Of the raced runners, two 3yr old and a 4yr old filly could dominate the finish to the contest and secure the trifecta, but FIELD OF MYRTLE may well prove to be the best. She showed plenty of toe when finishing fourth on debut over 1100M, just under four lengths back from the winner and would have learnt from that experience. With the natural improvement that can be expected, she may prove good enough to win at the second time of asking. She will have to negotiate a wide draw nine, but the drop in trip is sure to be to her advantage and whilst returning from a 23 week break, she has had two barrier trials, finishing second in the first and winning the latest.

DECEIVE has improved in her last two runs, finishing third last time out over 1100M, just a length and a half behind the winner. She returns from a shorter 19 week absence, but has had the benefit of two barrier trials, winning the latest and she jumps from a handy draw four.

BEDTIME was slow away and hung in all the way down the home straight when finishing fifth first time out over five furlongs, one and a half lengths off the victor and was immediately rested for 22 weeks. She returns here after finishing fourth in her only barrier trials and she would have come on further with that run under her belt. She faces a wide draw eleven, but she should not be easily overlooked in this line-up.

Race 7

INCA TRAIL jumped awkwardly, but recovered quickly to race just behind the leaders, before striking the front at the 250M mark, only to be run out of it late, when making his debut over 1500M, finishing just one and a half lengths behind the winner. The gelding should have improved with the run and has a handy draw four. As such, he is made the best bet on the day’s card.

SEKANI jumped awkwardly, bumping another runner when ending up in sixth place last time out 1500M, just a length and a half behind the winner, but that was at a stronger center and the form of that race has been franked. The colt faces a wide gate twelve, but he should be doing his best work late and could emerge as the biggest threat to the top choice.

WILD CALM is a 4yr old filly taking on males, but she has shown solid improvement in her two runs since returning from a 32 week spell, the latest when second over 1500M, just a head off the winner. She had to be eased at the 500M mark that day, but finished strongly from some way back. She will have to deal with a wide gate ten, but will be having her peak run and should be involved in the finish.

Race 8

The day’s value bet, BRITISH STATESMAN put his disappointing penultimate start over 1100M behind him when winning by just under a half length next time out over six furlongs. He displayed plenty of speed that day, going from gun to tape and from his useful gate two, he could prove hard to reel in over the latter stages.

CRAZY RUSSIAN won over 1300M three runs back, finished sixth in his penultimate start over seven furlongs and then nineth in his latest outing over the same trip, 3.8L behind the winner, but he jumped awkwardly that day, bumping another runner and was reported post-race to have had a swelling in his off-fore, so that effort is best ignored. He on the other hand is faced with a wide draw twelve, but he will be hoping to bounce back to winning ways today.

JUMEIRAH BEACH has shown much improvement in his last two starts, finishing fifth last time out over a mile, 2.3L off the winner, but he overraced in the early stages, so that effort was encouraging. The gelding returns from a 23 week break, but has had two barrier trials, finishing fourth in the latest. From his kinder draw three he should be considered a big runner in this contest.