It’s another round of Premier League fixtures and that means we have another chance to get some bang for our bucks. The preview has it all as always, simple bankers, unique interpretations and of course a couple sentiments some of you might liken to something from East Asia’s autocracy!
Saturday 30 April
6/1 Newcastle | Draw 38/10 | Liverpool 4/10 (13:30)
Newcastle have been incredibly impressive this season. They have not held back against any opposition – and its shown, only Liverpool have picked up more points in 2022 (32). Eddie Howe’s work has been remarkable, and you’ve got to think they’ll want to make a huge statement against the traveling Reds.
4/10 is an excellent price about the away side though, they have the players to beat Newcastle and the adaptability by Jurgen Klopp is surely the ultimate supplement. Get on the away win.
31/20 Watford | Draw 23/10 | Burnley 7/4 (16:00)
The only way to describe Burnley now is to liken them to the renaissance. Hear me out, they are often misunderstood…and yet everyone has an opinion. They are reasonably intriguing, not always that glorious and yet still it is difficult to dislike them.
I wouldn’t read too much into the Watford result against City – but I like the value about the away team.
27/20 Southampton | Draw 23/10 | Crystal Palace 2/1 (16:00)
I may have to admit that I have been guilty of possibly overhyping Patrick Vieira this season. He was an excellent player and as a manager he has enjoyed a positive start to life at Selhurst Park…but Palace are still pretty much Palace.
Southampton can run at this Palace defence and cause real concern. They are a team who fights on and because of that I think they win this. Get on.
4/10 Aston Villa | Draw 37/10 | Norwich 6/1 (16:00)
I haven’t enjoyed watching Aston Villa lately. They just don’t seem to be able to replicate the moments of quality that we constantly saw earlier on in the season – and really, that was their point of difference.
I don’t think Norwich will add too much pressure on Steven Gerrard’s chargers, which might allow the hosts to express themselves a bit more. I don’t like the 4/10 price; I think it is a little skinny – but they could be a banker for the multiples.
17/10 Wolves | Draw 21/10 | Brighton 7/4 (16:00)
Brighton was cruising against Southampton, but they lacked a killer edge. You just got the feeling that Southampton needed something to give and once it did, they came roaring back into the context!
Wolves had chances, but they were flat and almost uninspired at the weekend. I doubt we’ll see a performance like that replicated, so with that in mind…both teams scoring makes enough appeal. Get on at even money.
7/1 Leeds | Draw 48/10 | Manchester City 3/10 (18:30)
Leeds haven’t been horrible of late; they’ve started to find consistency in producing quality performances and it will certainly do them well next season. I’m excited to see what Jesse Marsch achieves with this side next season – not so much what happens on Saturday. Back City on the half-time/full-time double at 15/20.
Sunday 1 May
9/20 Tottenham | Draw 36/10 | Leicester 5/1 (18:30)
Tottenham’s Champions League qualification push suffered a slight set-back when they were held to a goalless draw against Brentford. I thought the Bees bossed the game and might have even been unlucky not to have come away with all points on offer.
Leicester would have felt they let themselves down against Villa, but the return of Jamie Vardy would have been the biggest plus. My concern with the Foxes is that with their Conference League semi-final on the go – how much can they really give to their League duties? Over 2.5 goals is at 6/10, and given Leicester’s inability to keep consistent clean sheets (and Spurs’ inability to consistently win football matches) I think it might be the way to play this one.
42/10 Everton | Draw 28/10 | Chelsea 13/20 (15:00)
Chelsea was flat, poor, and jaded against West Ham. Thomas Tuchel suggested they needed to release the pressure and tension caused by their recent poor run of form – I agree with the assessment, but I don’t think much will change.
Say what you want but Everton played with heart and fight in the Mersyside Derby. They made that fixture a derby and applied an approach which would give them their greatest chance of coming away from Anfield with something to show for it. I say, fair play.
If they employ similar tactics against a fragile Chelsea who aren’t in a brilliant place themselves – I think they might succeed with getting something from the game. I can’t back Chelsea at 13/20, and off the back of what I’ve seen…I’m with the School of Science and the mighty Toffee’s with the win/draw double chance. Get on at 21/20.
Monday 2 May
7/10 Manchester United | Draw 28/10 | Brentford 7/2 (21:00)
This is a difficult game to call. I don’t think Manchester United were dreadful against Arsenal. There were moments where they went forward with purpose, pace, and a bit of skill in the second 45 and asked pressing questions of their hosts. They hit the woodwork three times in the game and at the risk of sounding delusional, probably should’ve earned something from the encounter.
Brentford are the sort of side who can get on top of United and make life incredibly difficult. They are almost completely reliant on confidence and ‘vibe’ – something they will not find in their hosts.
If you must take a bet on this one, back the visitors on the win/draw double chance at 19/20.
Ps. United you have made me look silly all season, feel free to stick to the script here…
TREBLE @ 3/1
Wolves vs Brighton 1/1
Aston Villa Win 4/10
Tottenham vs Leicester: Over 2.5 goals 6/10
