Another week in and the twists and turns keep coming! It’s the Manchester derby weekend but I reckon there are still many twists and turns elsewhere! Read on to see how I think the weekend plays out, I’ve included the standard quad for your perusal…here’s to hoping it lands.
Friday 5 November
Southampton 11/10 | Draw 5/2 | Aston Villa 23/10 (22:00)
I must admit I prefer the Saints on the road. If you look at their results though, it’s much of a muchness, but when they play freely, and don’t look to take the game to their opposition, they are comfortable and incredibly patient.
Aston Villa are a punters frustration. They are nothing if they aren’t inconsistent. I’m happy to back the home win/draw double chance + over 1.5 at 13/20, get on and let’s get the weekend off to a positive start.
Saturday 6 November
Manchester United 32/10 | Draw 29/10 | Manchester City 15/20 (14:30)
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Chelsea 1/4 | Draw 5/1 | Burnley 10/1 (17:00)
Chelsea, Chelsea, Chelsea. They are starting to look like champions, and more importantly win like champions. I don’t think they started particularly great against Newcastle, but they just stayed in the game and eventually just took it away from the Magpies.
Burnley haven’t given us any reason to even look at them here, so why should we? Yes, they flattened Brentford, but I’m still skeptical. The price available on the home side is too short for my money though, I’d rather opt for Chelsea on the half-time/full-time double at 13/20.
Crystal Palace 29/20 | Draw 43/20 | Wolves 2/1 (17:00)
This is a tough game to call. Wolves were excellent against Everton, and yet in saying that they could be so much better. Palace were aggressive against City and took their chance – fair play to them.
I don’t think it’s prudent to pick a winner, I’d be happy going the both teams to score + over 2.5 goals route.
Brentford 6/10 | Draw 29/10 | Norwich 46/10 (17:00)
I’m very interested in seeing the Brentford response. They were uncharacteristically taken apart at the weekend and – for the first time – looked like a Championship team.
Norwich is still awaiting a league win. Their performances are consistently flat and I’m not sure they’ll get one by Christmas. I wonder if there’s a bet for that? Back the Bees to return to winning ways here.
Brighton 13/20 | Draw 28/10 | Newcastle 42/10 (19:30)
How good was that Brighton performance? We’ve all said that they are playing an excellent brand of football at the moment. Care-free and almost disrespectful (in the best possible way) considering how they approach the likes of Liverpool at Anfield.
Newcastle wanted to frustrate Chelsea; they just haven’t got the ability. This game could be an excellent watch, both teams will believe they should win, and it might open nicely. Both teams to score is tipped with a degree of confidence. Get on at 9/10.
Sunday 7 November
Everton 37/20 | Draw 22/10 | Tottenham 31/20 (16:00)
I think Antonio Conte in at Spurs is an incredible acquisition for the London club. The suggestion of 18 months is a little disrespectful…but either way Spurs have themselves a tactically sound, passionate serial winner.
Everton have been flat and somewhat toothless; I think these odds will change on Spurs so get on as soon as possible.
Leeds United 7/4 | Draw 51/20 | Leicester City 14/10 (16:00)
I was a little disappointed with Leicester, they didn’t look as though they were ever in the ascendency against Arsenal and just lacked a bit of bite. Their pace and use of width are well-documented, and often that could play on a team’s psyche, prompting them to change…they really should never change.
Leeds was able to get past a rather sad Norwich team, but that isn’t caused for confidence or belief in Marcelo Bielsa’s side. Their only two league victories came against a struggling Watford before this weekend’s results…Leicester haven’t been amazing, but they win here.
Arsenal 4/10 | Draw 38/10 | Watford 6/1 (16:00)
These are the sorts of games Arsenal need to continue winning should they dream of a valuable league finish. The fickle nature of the modern football fan forces us to remember how Mikel Arteta’s head was being called for only a couple weeks ago…fast forward those weeks and he’s “restoring some respect”.
Watford will certainly improve under Claudio Ranieri, but he’ll need more time to have a true effect. I think Arsenal, even at 4/10, is good enough for the multiples.
West Ham 7/2 | Draw 32/10 | Liverpool 13/20 (18:30)
This will be a cracking game. West Ham have been exceptional, they have stayed true to their approach and just completely embodied the style of play. They are clinical in front of goal, robust in defence and simple – but effective – in midfield. David Moyes has done a great job and he deserves all the credit he’s received.
Liverpool had a minor blimp last time out. I don’t think they played particularly badly…but what caught my attention was how they responded to having a team have a proper go at them. I think Liverpool are used to often exploiting the space teams leave behind when they attack the Reds, but Brighton screened expertly and didn’t allow too many successful transitions through the midfield. West Ham could do much of the same and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them get a result.
In fact, I can’t see West Ham losing. I really can’t. If it wasn’t for Moyes’ terrible record against Liverpool I’d say have a punt on the nose with confidence, instead let’s settle for the home win/draw double chance at 21/20.
QUAD @ 10/1
Brentford Win 6/10
Brighton vs Newcastle: BTTS 9/10
Arsenal Win 4/10
Tottenham Win 31/20
