Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Monday’s Australian racing taking place at Port Macquarie.
Best Bet: GLOWING RED (Race 4)
Value Bet: BLACK JACAMAR (Race 7)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7).
Leg 1: 4, 5
Leg 2: 3, 2, 5
Leg 3: 2, 9, 11
Leg 4: 10, 7, 4
Today’s best bet, GLOWING RED is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she has posted a record of one first, one second and a third place finish in her last start from her first three outings. She jumped awkwardly that day and only got a clear run at the 250M mark, before ending up three and a half lengths behind the winner over 1100M when returning from an 18 week break. She will have to negotiate draw eight, but she could prove to be the one that they all have to beat. OAKFIELD PRINCE was a jump to wire winner of his first start over 1280M, putting almost three lengths between himself and the opposition and the form of that race has been franked. He jumps from a kinder draw three and could be the biggest danger to the top choice. TOOLS DOWN has won two of his last three runs, the latest when a head victor over 1100M. He came three wide into the turn that day, but stayed on well over the closing stages of the contest. He has cracked pole position and will have 2kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice.
DUCHESS MARIZZA is a 3yr filly taking on males, but she was slow away before recovering well to set the pace and then stayed on well to win her last start over a mile by 1.3L. She will jump from gate six and should give the boys a good run for their money. WE ALL AGREE is drawn one inside the top pick and followed up his penultimate run victory over 1460M with a fourth place finish next time out over a mile, just under three lengths back from the winner. He had to be held up entering the home straight that day, so did well to finish as close to the winner as he did. ENDANGERED SPECIES came four wide into the straight before ending up in fourth place last time out over seven furlongs, four lengths adrift of the winner. He has pulled a wideish gate seven, but with a bit of luck in running, he should be involved in the finish.
FRENCH MARINE has only had the three runs to date, but he won over 1100M at the second time off asking and then finished third last time out over today’s trip, one and a half lengths behind the winner. He had no luck in the home straight that day, having had to weave his way between runners. He gets gate six and should be right up there when they hit the line. FAATINAAT is a 3yr old filly bumping boys, but she has also only had the three outings to date and showed the expected improvement to win her second start over 1106M and then finished third in her latest outing over six furlongs, two lengths off the winner. She was making good late progress that day and from draw three, she should make her presence felt in this line-up. SUPREME STREAK has finished closer to the winner in his last three runs, culminating with a neck victory last time out over 1206M and the form of that race has held up well with two runners subsequently winning. He faces a wide draw eleven, but he finished strongly to win last time out, so is likely to be dropped out of it early and then start picking off the frontrunners over the latter stages of the contest.
Two 3yr old fillies could fight out the finish to this race and secure the exacta, but the day’s value bet, BLACK JACAMAR is taken to lead them home. She finished second on debut over five furlongs and then won second time out over the same distance, by just under a length. She was immediately rested for 24 weeks and returns here after having had the benefit of two barrier trials, finishing second in the latest to prove her fitness. She faces gate ten, but she should use her early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy. FREE DAWN returns from a 23 week absence, but has also had the two barrier trials, winning the latest. She won by a head over six furlongs second time out before the break and four runners from that contest have subsequently won to boost her chances of victory here. GOOFY MICK overraced early before going on to win his maiden race last time out over five furlongs by just over three and a half lengths when returning from a 23 week absence. He jumps from draw eight and should be right up there in the mix.