Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Saturday’s racing on 2 October 2021.
Best Bet: BIG PARADE (Race 10)
Value Bet: MONTEFILIA (Race 9)
Jackpot (race 7 – 10)
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
2 | 9 | 8 | 1 |
1 | 1 | 12 | 12 |
3 | 6 | 14 | |
3 | |||
7 |
Cost: R90.00
Race 7
MALLORY has consistent formlines to her name and finished second last time out in a Group 2 event over seven furlongs, just a neck behind the winner, despite having to be held up between the 400M and 300M marks and only seeing daylight at the 250M pole and then finally being hampered between the 100M and 50M marks. The objection lodged against the second-place finisher for that interference was upheld and she was promoted to second place. She jumps from gate five and with better luck in running today, she looks to be the one to side with.
FOUR MOVES AHEAD won the race referred to above after having to be steadied at the 800M mark. She faces a wide draw thirteen and given the traffic problems experienced by the top choice in their last clash, she may struggle to confirm that last result.
SWIFT WITNESS was the runner responsible for the interference suffered by the top pick and demoted to third spot, but she did race wide in the early stages before slotting in just behind the leaders turning for home. She took over the running at the 330M mark, but shifted around over the latter stages. She gets gate eight and as the top three selections meet on the same weight terms today, she may have to settle for another minor stake’s cheque.
Race 8
This looks to be a tricky race with plenty of runners in with a realistic chance of finding the winner’s box, so some caution is suggested. RIODINI has finished second in his last two runs, the latest in a Group 1 race over a mile, 0.8L back from the winner. He tried to go from jump to wire that day and was only run out of it very late. He faces a wide draw fifteen, but he should use his early gate speed to move across without consuming too much gas.
MO’UNGA followed up his penultimate run victory over seven furlongs with a second-place finish next time out in a Group 1 event over a mile, just a neck behind the winner. He was making good late progress that day and from his wide gate thirteen, he should be doing his best work late.
HUNGRY HEART is seldom far off the action and renews his rivalry with the top choice after finishing fourth, two and a half lengths behind the winner in the race referred to above. As he is 3kgs worse off for that 1.7L beating, he may struggle to turn the tables on the top pick. He is however slightly better drawn in gate ten and is not without a chance of finding himself in the winner’s box.
Race 9
A 4yr old filly and a 6yr old mare may fight out the finish to this race and complete the exacta, but the day’s value bet, MONTEFILIA is taken to lead the field home. She did not get the clearest of passages in the home straight in her last race, having to be switched at the 300M pole before ending up in second place in a Group 3 race over ten furlongs, 1.3L behind the winner. She will have to overcome a wide gate seventeen and hails from the stable of ex-SA jockey/trainer David Payne.
SHE’S IDEEL did finish that 1.3L in front of the former in the race mentioned above and her jockey did put up 0.5kgs overweight that day, but as she now meets the top choice on 3.5kgs worse terms today, she may battle to confirm that last result. She has not fared too well with her draw either, being allocated gate fifteen.
ENTENTE on the other hand has pulled a handy draw four and had his consistency rewarded with a 1.8L victory last time out over twelve furlongs in a Group 3 event. He came five wide into the home stretch that day but stayed on well over the latter stages to claim his sixth career win.
Race 10
The day’s best bet, BIG PARADE missed out on his hat-trick when finishing third in his latest start over 1300M, 1.7L adrift of the winner, but he did jump awkwardly in that contest before recovering well to set the pace. He fought all the way down to the wire and from a cozy gate two, he may well prove difficult to reel in over the closing stages of the race.
GRAVINA also lost out on completing his trio of victories when ending up in third spot last time out over 1100M, just a half-length back from the winner. He is another that jumped awkwardly on that occasion, but then showed plenty of determination in the dash down to the wire. From gate seven and if repeating that last effort, he could emerge as the biggest danger to the former.
PRIME CANDIDATE has finished closer to the winner in his last three runs, the latest when tenth over six furlongs, just under four lengths behind the winner. He does return from a 26-week break but has had the benefit of three barrier trials, winning the last two. He has a cracked pole position and should be involved in the finish
