Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Monday’s racing taking place at Warwick Farm, Australia.
Best Bet: LOST AND RUNNING (Race 7)
Value Bet: PETRONIUS (Race 8)
|
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
|
8 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
|
5 |
3 |
7 |
3 |
|
2 |
5 |
|
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jackpot (race 5 – 8). – Cost: R54.00
Race 5
KAWAIKINI is seldom far off the action and stayed on well when finishing third last time out over six furlongs, just over a length behind the winner and the form of that race has stood up well. She jumps from draw five and seems likely to turn in another honest performance today. HYANNIS PORT followed up her penultimate run victory over six furlongs with a fifth place finish next time out over 1100M, 4.8L adrift of the winner when returning from a 31 week break. She only saw daylight at the 300M mark that day and should have finished closer to the winner than she eventually did. From gate three, she could emerge as the biggest danger to the top choice. EXOTIC RUBY was slightly disappointing when ending up in seventh place last time out over 1300M, six lengths back from the winner, but that was in a Group 2 event, which may be too strong for her at this stage of her career. She had finished second in both of her two prior outings over 1100M and should enjoy the drop in distance here. She has gate six and should be included in all bets.
Race 6
JUNGLE BOOK has finished a head behind the winner in his last two runs over 1900M and jumped awkwardly in the latest. He was making good late progress in that event, suggesting that the extra ground on offer here will be to his liking. He will have to negotiate a wide draw fourteen, but he should be doing his best work late. LA GRISA is a 5yr old mare taking on the boys, but she won her penultimate start over this c&d by just over two and a half lengths and then finished fifth in her last outing when stepping up to thirteen furlongs, 3.9L adrift of the victor. She renews her rivalry with POULTON LE SANDS who finished second in the same race mentioned above, just 0.4L behind the winner. She does meet her conqueror on 0.5kg better terms today which would not normally be enough to overturn that last result, but she is preferred over the latter as the drop in distance is likely to suit her better and she seems more consistent. The pair are drawn alongside each other in gates four and five respectively, so neither will get too much of an advantage in that regard.
Race 7
LOST AND RUNNING has won his first two starts, by four and a half lengths over five furlongs on debut and by 3.3L over 1100M second time out and could be just about anything. He returns from a lengthy 39 week break, but has won both his barrier trials to showcase his well-being. He will have to deal with a wideish gate nine, but four runners from his last start have subsequently won their races and as such, he is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card. TORUN has also only had the two outings to date, winning over five furlongs on debut and then followed that up with a second place finish next time out over 1100M, just a half length back from the winner. He has his first run since a shorter 28 week absence, but has posted three encouraging barrier trials and looks to be the immediate danger to the top choice, jumping from draw three. MARWAY goes for his hat-trick after wins over 1300M and the latest over five furlongs by a head when returning from a lengthy 42 week absence. He is drawn one inside the latter and should be involved in the finish.
Race 8
The day’s value bet, PETRONIUS has consistent formlines to his credit and finished third last time out over 1500M, just over a length behind the winner. He returns from a 16 week rest, but has had the two barrier trials, finishing second in the latest. He gets to jump from gate six and should deliver another solid performance today. SNITZIFY has won two of his last three runs, the latest being a head victory over today’s distance. He jumped awkwardly that day, but recovered well to lead the field into the home straight and then battled all the way down to the wire to record his fourth career win. He will have to deal with a wideish draw nine, but he should be right up there when they hit the line. TRAVEST finished strongly to end up in fifth place last time out over this c&d, 1.8L back from the winner, this despite coming the widest into the home straight. He is drawn one inside the latter and the form of that race has been franked to boost his bid for top spot.
