Australian racing tips – Wednesday 26 June 2024 – Warwick Farm

Best Bet: KERGUELEN (Race 6)
Value Bet: DIPSY DOODLE (Race 8)

Jackpot (race 5 – 8)

Cost: R54.00

Race 5

DANISH PRINCE has posted two solid last runs and tried to go from jump to wire when finishing third last time out over 1500M, just over a half-length behind the winner, but his jockey dropped his crop at the 300M mark that day. He faces a wide draw ten, but he is likely to attempt similar frontrunning tactics today.

ELSIE MAY is a 4-year-old filly taking on the boys, but she won her last start over 1500M by 1.8L despite being severely checked at the 700M mark and coming three wide into the home straight, before shifting out at the 300m pole, bumping another runner, so that effort was encouraging. She is drawn one inside the top pick, but will be having her peak run after returning from a 14-week rest and should be right up there when they hit the line.

EXCEED PERFECTION has consistent formlines to his name and followed up his penultimate run victory over 1200M with a second-place finish next time out over the same sprint trip, two and a half lengths back from the winner and the form of that race has been franked. The colt jumps from gate seven and will be having his peak run for his new trainer after returning from a 29-week rest and getting the services of non-claiming apprentice, Zac Lloyd, son of ex-SA champion jockey, Jeff Lloyd to aid his cause.

Race 6

KERGUELEN put nine and a half lengths between himself and the opposition when winning on debut over 1200M and could be just about anything. He raced three wide without cover that day and then kicked clear of the field at the top of the home straight and the result was never in doubt from that point. He no doubt would have learnt from that experience and with the natural improvement that can be expected, he could be the one that they all have to beat and is made the best bet on the day’s card. The gelding has finished fifth in a subsequent barrier trial and will have to negotiate a wide draw twelve, but he is a speedy sort who should be able to work his way across without using up too much gas and prove very hard to topple.

KANDINSKY ABSTRACT followed up his penultimate run victory over 1200M with an eleventh-place finish next time out when stepping up to 1400M, 4.7L back from the winner and has finished third in a subsequent barrier trial. The gelding raced wide without cover from the 700M mark in that event and was reported to have suffered from mild heat stress, so that effort is best ignored. The form of that race has however stood up well with three runners out of that contest subsequently winning. From a handy draw four and with Zac Lloyd in the irons, he could emerge as the biggest danger to the top choice.

NEED SOME LUCK has won two of his last three outings, the latest over 1200M by two lengths, notwithstanding jumping awkwardly and hanging out on the home turn. The colt struck the front at the 150M mark to win going away, although he did shift out from the 50M mark. He will have to overcome a wide gate thirteen, but he should use his early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy to be involved in the finish.

Race 7

ESTADIO MESTALLA has consistent formlines to his credit, but jumped awkwardly bumping another runner and hung in from the 50M mark when ending up in fourth place last time out over 1300M, just under one and a half lengths back from the winner. The gelding faces a wide draw nine, but he will be having his peak run after returning from a 12-week rest and could be the one to side with in this line-up.

TAMERLANE has cracked pole position and won over 1300M three runs back, finished second in his penultimate start over 1400M and then ninth in his latest outing back over 1300M, just under three and a half lengths off the victor. He was returning from a 16-week absence on that occasion and has won a subsequent barrier trial.

STRAIT ACER is seldom far off the action and jumped awkwardly when finishing eighth last time out over 1300M, 2.2L back from the winner. The gelding gets a set of blinkers re-fitted and if this move has the desired effect, he should be a big runner here, jumping from a useful draw four.

Race 8

The day’s value bet, DIPSY DOODLE is a 3-year-old filly taking on males and overraced in the early and middle stages when finishing fifth in her latest outing over 1100M, three and a half lengths adrift of the winner, but the form of that race is solid with four runners out of that match subsequently winning. Her jockey put up 0.5kgs overweight that day and although returning from a 17-week spell, she has had two barrier trials, winning the first and finishing third in the latest to prove her well-being. She will have to deal with a wide draw eleven, but she will be hoping to chalk up her third career victory to give her trainer James Cummingham his second winner in the day’s Jackpot, should the top pick win the second leg.

REBEL DEAN has consistent formlines to his name and was returning from a 14-week rest when finishing second last time out over 1000M, just a half-length behind the winner. He was held up early in the home stretch that day, before finishing off his race well, so can be considered an unlucky loser. The gelding faces a wide draw ten, but he should be doing his best work late.

PISANELLO is the stable companion of the top choice and won his penultimate start over 1100M and then finished fourth next time out over the same trip, just under six lengths adrift of the winner. He raced four wide without cover in that event and then came the widest of them all into the home straight. The gelding was also reported to have not acted in the heavy going that day, so a line should be drawn through that effort. He is drawn wide in gate seventeen, but he is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start to pick off the front runners over the latter part of the race and make a solid back-up for the yard.