Winning Form brings us their best bets and Tips for Wednesday’s racing from Wyong, Australia.
Best Bet: SQUANTO (Race 7)
Value Bet: VANDERLAND (Race 6)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7)
More than half of the field are unraced runners, so as is always the case in these types of races, a keen eye should be kept on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether the connections believe that they can win first time out. Of the raced runners, KISS SUM may prove to be the best. He battled all the way down to the wire when finishing second on debut over five furlongs, 0.8L behind the winner. He is drawn in gate five and will have 3kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice. With the natural improvement that can be expected, he should be right up there when they hit the line.
ROCSTAR BOY jumps from draw seven and finished second on debut over five furlongs and then fourth next time out over 900M, 2.3L back from the winner. He finished strongly that day suggesting that the extra ground on offer here will be to his liking.
DEFICIT has his first run today and has cracked pole position. He has had the benefit of two barrier trials finishing fourth in the first and second in the latest. Any betting support for him, or indeed any of the other unraced entrants, should be respected.
CREAM RISES overraced early, but then hit the front as the field entered the home straight and then fought off all the late challengers to win first time out over 1100M by some 4.8L. He clearly has some ability and would have learnt from that outing, so more improvement can be expected. From gate seven, he could prove good enough to chalk up a quick double here.
SIRENS followed up his penultimate run victory over 1100M with a third-place finish next time out over six furlongs, 1.7L adrift of the winner, despite coming three-wide into the home straight. He is drawn one outside the top choice and has his peak run after returning from a 23-week break.
WAR GENERAL had his consistency rewarded with a 0.8L win last time out over six furlongs and the form of that race has stood up well, with three runners out of that contest subsequently winning. His draw five will do him no harm.
The day’s value bet, VANDERLAND won his penultimate start over 1300M and then finished eighth next time out over six furlongs, beaten 4.3L. He jumped awkwardly and was then hampered shortly after the start before coming the widest into the home straight that day, so that effort is best ignored. He has a handy draw three and gets the blinkers re-fitted for today’s run. The colt will be hoping to bounce back to his previous form today.
Two 4yr old fillies could chase him home, with the slight preference going to KARIBA, who is seldom far off the action and who made good late progress to finish third last time out over six furlongs, just under a half-length back from the winner when returning from a 25-week break. She will have to negotiate a wide draw eleven, but she should keep the top pick honest.
OFF HER ROCA drops in trip after finishing eighth in her last outing over 1900M, 4.7L adrift off the victor, but she did not get the clearest of passages in the home straight that day and should have finished closer to the winner as a result. She has a far kinder draw four and gets the services of ex-SA jockey Keagan Latham, so will get all the necessary assistance from the saddle.
SQUANTO hit the front at the 200M pole when winning his last start over this c&d by two and a half lengths and the form of that race has been franked. He faces gate seven, but he does have his peak run here after returning from a 17-week rest and as such, he is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card.
MOMACK won his penultimate outing over 1500M and then stayed on well to end up in second spot next time out over a mile, 1.3L back from the winner. He jumps from a wideish draw nine, but he could emerge as the biggest danger to the top selection.
ESTROVERTO showed marked improvement to win his last start over 1500M by one length, despite being friendless in the betting markets. He has pulled pole position and if he is able to confirm that last effort, he should be involved in the finish.