Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Sunday’s Australian racing taking place at Kempsey.
Best Bet: TEXAS STORM (Race 7)
Value Bet: OH SAY (Race 5)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8)
The two stable companions could fight out the finish to this race and complete the exacta, but the day’s value bet, OH SAY is taken to lead the pack home. She is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she had her consistency rewarded with a half-length victory last time out over six furlongs, this despite coming six wide into the home straight. She jumps from a handy draw four and should be right up there when they hit the line.
CONDOVER HALL battled all the way down to the wire before ending up in second place last time out over 1300M, just a head behind the winner. The gelding is drawn the widest of them all in gate fifteen, but he should be doing his best work late.
VENUSIAN made good late progress after turning four wide into the straight to finish third in his latest outing over six furlongs, just a half-length back from the winner when friendless in the betting markets. He will have to negotiate draw twelve, but nevertheless should not be lightly dismissed in this line-up.
GIRLS KICK ON is a 3yr old filly taking on males, but she has finished closer to the winner in each of her last three starts, the latest when second over 1100M, just over four and a half lengths adrift of the victor. She was trapped three-wide that day but still stayed on well over the latter stages of the contest. She faces a wideish draw eight, but she should give the boys a good run for their money.
PIPE DREAMS on the other hand has cracked pole position. His last run should be totally ignored as he was hampered by a fallen horse and dislodged his jockey. He will get 1.5kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice and if bouncing back to some of his previous forms, he should be a big runner today.
VAPORETTO is another 3yr filly in the race. She is seldom too far off the action and although seventh in her last start over six furlongs, she was just 3.2L behind the winner. She gets a set of blinkers fitted for the first time and if these have the desired effect, she should be in the mix.
TEXAS STORM has won two of his last five runs and finished strongly when ending up in second spot last time out over a mile, 0.8L back from the winner. He renews his rivalry with LOLITA GOLD, a 5yr old mare who was the victor of that last race. She went from jump to wire that day and is likely to attempt similar tactics here. The former is however 1.5kgs better off at the weights today and that should be enough of the tables to be turned. In addition, the latter has a wideish gate seven.
JUVENTUS has an even worse draw in gate twelve, but on the plus side, he will get 1.5kgs removed from his allocated weight courtesy of his claiming apprentice to aid his cause. He was slowly away and then crowded shortly after the start when finishing eighth last time out over 1300M, just over four lengths off the winner, so should have finished closer as a result.
MR POLAR goes for his hat-trick after two wins over 900M, the latest by half a length and the form of that race has stood up well with two runners out of that contest subsequently winning. He returns from a 15-week break and has not had the benefit of a barrier trial, so his fitness will have to be taken on trust. He is however a speedy sort who will have 1.5kgs taken off his back for the services of his claiming apprentice. From gate seven, he could be the one to side with here.
PATRIOT followed up his penultimate run victory over 1215M with a second spot finish next time out over 1220m, beaten a head. He hit the front at the 250M pole that day and was only snared in the shadow of the post. He returns from a shorter 11-week rest and has also not had a barrier trial, but he gets a greater 4kgs removed from his allocated weight courtesy of his claiming apprentice and whist having to overcome a wide draw twelve, he needs to be taken seriously here.
THE DRAKE jumped awkwardly and then did not get the clearest of passages in the home straight before finishing eighth last time out over six furlongs, nearly six lengths behind the winner and should not be lightly dismissed on that effort. He jumps from gate five and should be included in all bets.