Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Friday’s racing taking place at Kembla Grange, Australia.
Best Bet: MEDIA STARGUEST (Race 6)
Value Bet: SIDEARM (Race 8)
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Jackpot (race 5-8). – Cost: R54.00
Race 5.
MAIN STAGE has made steady improvement in his last three runs, finishing third in his latest over 1900M, just a head behind the winner. He raced five wide into the home straight that day, but did finish off his race strongly, suggesting that he should appreciate the extra ground on offer here. From draw three, he appears to be the one that they all have to beat. SHADOW FLIGHT showed marked improvement when making good late progress to end up in third place last time out over eleven furlongs, 1.7L back from the winner. He was friendless in the betting markets that day and renews his rivalry with ALAKAHAN, who finished 5.3L behind the winner in the same race mentioned above. As he meets the latter on 0.5kg better terms here, he should be able to confirm that last result, despite having to negotiate a wide draw eleven. ALAKAHAN has on the other hand, cracked pole position and did stay on well in the closing stages of that last outing and seems likely to enjoy going the extra journey. He should not be lightly dismissed in this line-up.
Race 6.
The day’s best bet, MEDIA STARGUEST had his consistency rewarded with a half length victory last time out over seven furlongs. He raced tight at the 700M mark that day, but still led the field into the home straight, before fending off all the late challengers in the dash down to the wire and the form of that race has been franked. He has his peak run today after returning from a 19 week break and whilst jumping from a wideish gate seven, on the plus side, he will get 1.5kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice. ASPECT RATIO is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys and returns from 16 week rest, but she has had the benefit of two barrier trials, finishing third in the latest to showcase her well-being. She is seldom far off the action and raced three wide into the straight before ending up in fifth place in her latest start over a mile, 2.3L adrift of the victor. She was also hanging over the latter stages of the race, which did not help her cause. From gate four, she looks the immediate danger to the top choice. TECTONICUS has finished second in his last two runs, the latest over 1300M when a half length back from the winner, despite being held up turning into the straight. He was returning from a 27 week absence that day and will be hoping to go one better today, jumping from his draw six.
Race 7.
ELIZABEEL stayed on strongly when finishing third in a Group 1 event over seven furlongs, just over three lengths behind the winner and seems likely to enjoy the step up to the mile. She has her peak run here after returning from a 16 week rest and notwithstanding her wideish gate eight, she is taken to lead the field home to record her third career victory. Although THERMOSPHERE is recorded as finishing seventh in her last start over seven furlongs, six lengths behind the winner, that was in the same Group 1 contest as the top pick and she had contested a Group 2 event in her penultimate outing over six furlongs. She was crowed at the start in that last run and should have finished closer to the winner than she eventually did. She has gate ten to deal with and does meet the top pick on 3kgs worse terms today, so she may well have to settle for the same result, but she could complete the exacta. BROOKSPIRE is drawn one inside the latter and has only had the three runs to date. She followed up her penultimate run victory over seven furlongs with a third place finish over the same c&d next time out, just over three and a half lengths back from the winner. She clearly has some ability and should be included in all bets.
Race 8.
With the late scratching of one of his main rivals, the door may have opened for the day’s value bet, SIDEARM to post his second career win. He has consistent formlines to his credit and won his penultimate outing over a mile and then finished second in his next start when dropping down to seven furlongs, 1.3L back from the winner. He was returning from a 21 week absence that day and did not get the clearest of passages in the straight. Back over what appears to be the preferable mile journey and from gate eight, he should be right up there when they hit the line. FAVREAU made solid improvement when winning his maiden race last time out over a mile by a neck. He was hampered at the 200M pole that day, which makes the victory that much more encouraging. He is drawn one outside the former and has his peak run after returning from a 16 week break. SALLY POPS is a 3yr old filly taking on males. She missed out on her hat-trick last time out when finishing third over seven furlongs, just under one and a half lengths behind the winner. She was returning from a 13 week rest that day and did battle all the way down to the finishing post. She has pulled draw seven and should give the boys a good run for their money.
