Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Wednesday’s race taking place in Wagga, Australia.
Best Bet: SCOUT (Race 8)
Value Bet: SHADOW COMPANY (Race 7)
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Jackpot (Race 5 – 8) – Cost: R54.00
Race 5
MAGIC AMELIA showed marked improvement when attempting to go from jump to wire before finishing second last time out over this distance, three lengths back from the winner. She returns from a 20-week rest and has not had the benefit of a barrier trial, so her fitness will have to be taken on trust, but the form of that last race has been franked, so she could be the one to side with here. PICTURE BOOK also showed solid improvement when ending up in fifth place in her last run over 1100M, two lengths behind the winner, and the form of that race has stood up well. She will have to negotiate a wide gate eleven, but she should be doing her best work late. STAND YOUR GROUND has made steady improvement in her last three outings, the latest when second over five furlongs, one and a half lengths adrift of the victor when returning from a 21-week break. She has an even wider draw fourteen, but on the plus side, she will get 3kgs removed from her back thanks to her claiming apprentice.
Race 6
ZARAFAH is a 5yr old mare taking on the boys, but she is seldom far off the action and finished second in her latest outing over 2100M, just under three lengths back from the winner. She stayed on well that day and although facing a wide draw 13, she should give the males a good run for their money. SYDNEY BLUE is drawn one inside the top choice and drops in trip after three runs over ten furlongs, the last when fourth, 3.6L behind the winner. He overraced in the early stages in that contest and if settling in his race today, he could emerge as the biggest danger to the top pick. DEFY has fared even worse with his draw, having to overcome gate fifteen, but he battled all the way down to the wire when finishing fifth last time out over a mile, just under two and a half lengths behind the winner. He may well be looking for this greater test in stamina and should be included in all bets.
Race 7
SHADOW COMPANY had finished second in his two prior runs over 1100M before ending up in fifth place last time out over today’s distance, just over three lengths back from the winner. he overraced that day and had little to come in the home straight. He gets to jump from gate seven and seems likely to turn in another honest performance here. As such, he is taken to be the value bet on the program. TORSITON is a 4yr old filly taking on males. She is drawn one inside the former and drops in trip after finishing second in her last outing over seven furlongs, just under a length back from the winner. she did however finish second over six furlongs three runs back so this should not be an issue. She was friendless in the betting markets that day and should be right up there when they hit the line. MANDALONG NICKO on the other hand attracted plenty of betting support when finishing strongly to end up in third spot last time out over six furlongs, just under a length adrift of the victor. He faces a wide draw twelve, but is likely to be dropped out of the race in the early stages and then start picking off the frontrunners over the latter stages of the contest.
Race 8
SCOUT has finished closer to the winner in his last three runs, the latest when third over this c&d, one and a half lengths behind the winner. He has his peak outing today and if he has continued along that same path, he may prove difficult to topple in this line-up and is made the bets bet on the day, this despite having a wideish gate nine. KANERUPT drops in distance after finishing second over seven furlongs last time out, one length behind the winner. He did however finish second over today’s sprint distance three runs back, so this shorter trip should not present a problem. From gate seven, he looks to be the immediate threat to the top choice. STEPHAN on the other hand takes a step up in distance after finishing fourth last time out over five furlongs, 1.9L back from the winner. He has a handy gate four and will have 2kgs removed from his allocated weight courtesy of his claiming apprentice to aid his cause. He should be involved in the finish here.
