Winning Form bring you all of their best bets and tips for Sunday’s racing coming from Newcastle on 28 November 2021.
Best Bet: FREEDOM SQUARE (Race 5)
Value Bet: CREAM RISES (Race 8)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8).
FREEDOM SQUARE has won two of his last three starts, the latest over 1900M by half a length, this despite being hampered down at the start. He hit the front at the 200M mark and then fought off all the late challengers in the dash down to the wire and the form of that race has been franked. He has cracked pole position and is made the best bet on the day’s card. OUTLOOK is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys, but she followed up her penultimate run victory over 2300M with a fourth-place finish next time out over 13 furlongs, 1.8L behind the winner. She jumped awkwardly that day, but recovered quickly to take up the running and was only run out of it late. She gets a wideish gate eight, but she should give the males a good run for their money. DENILIQUIN had his consistency rewarded with his maiden victory last time out over 1900M, winning a short-head. He was badly hampered at the 1100M mark when overracing that day, but he still managed to find a powerful finish to claim victory in the shadow of the post. He jumps from gate six and whilst taking on stronger here, but he may well be up to the task at hand.
There are four unraced runners in the field, so as is always the case in these types of races, a keen eye should be kept on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether the connection believe that they can win first time out. Any betting support for a runner or runners should be respected. Of the raced runners ADELINDA may prove to be the best. She is seldom far off the action and her last four runs have yielded two seconds, one third and one fourth-place finishes, the latest that third spot finish over six furlongs, one and a half lengths behind the winner. She stayed on well in that contest and although drawn wide in gate eleven, she should be doing her best work late. MISS MILTON has finished second in her last two outings, the latest when a half-length back over 1310M. She attracted plenty of betting support that day and made good late progress, so from draw six, she will be hoping to make amends today. AUREUS has only had the two runs to date, finishing second on debut over 1100M and the fourth next time out over the same trip, four and a half lengths behind the winner. It should however be noted that she only saw daylight at the 350M pole that day, so should have finished closer to the winner as a result. She has pulled pole position and will have the cheekpieces removed for the first time. If this move has the desired effect, she should be considered a big runner here.
This looks to be a tricky race with plenty of runners in with a realistic chance of finding the winner’s box, so some caution is suggested. OCEAN EMPEROR was a tad disappointing last time out when finishing fourth over 1100M, just under five and a half lengths behind the winner when attempting to go from gun to tape, but the form of that race has been franked. He starts from a wideish gate eight, but on the plus side he will get 1.5kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice. MAJOR MURPHY finished powerfully from the back of the field to end up in second place last time out over 1100M, 0.7L off the victor. He has an even wider draw fourteen to deal with, but will get a greater 3kgs removed from his allocated weight courtesy of his claiming apprentice. LONELY POWER by contrast has drawn pole position and has won both of his two starts to date, the first over six furlongs, followed by the next over 1300M by just over two and a half lengths. He returns from a 19 week rest, but has put in two encouraging barrier trial and does have his first run for his new trainer. If fully settled into his new surroundings, he should give a good account of himself here.
CREAM RISES has posted two solid last efforts, the latest when third over a mile, 2.2L behind the winner. He was however bumped at the 200M mark in that contest and his jockey put up 1kg overweight. From his tidy draw two, he is taken to be the value bet on the day’s program. GRANDE RUMORE is drawn one outside the top pick and is a 5yr old mare taking on males, but she made marked improvement to finish second in her latest outing over seven furlongs, just a length behind the winner. She did not get the clearest of passages in the home straight that day, having had to be switched out to secure a clear run at the 150M pole. SAQUON has finished closer to the winner in each of his last three runs, culminating with a strong finishing short-head victory last time out over 1300M. He has not been so lucky with his draw, being stuck out the widest of them all in gate fifteen, but he is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start to pick off the frontrunners in the dash down to the finishing post.