Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Tuesday’s racemeeting taking place at Warwick Farm, Australia.
Best Bet: STORMY ROCK (Race 7)
Value Bet: AFFINITY BEYOND (Race 5)
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Jackpot (race 4 – 7). – Cost: R54.00.
Race 4
The stable mates from the C Maher & D Eustace yard could fight out the finish to this race and secure the exacta, with the marginal top choice going toTOO MUCH CLASS. She is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she will be looking to complete her hat-trick here after winning her last start over this mile journey by nearly two and a half lengths. She hit the front at the 200M mark that day and then went on to hold off all challengers and record a comfortable victory. The form of that race has also been franked and from her handy gate two, she could chalk up her trio of wins.BLACK BOLTon the other hand missed out on his hat-trick when finishing third last time out over a mile, 1.6L behind the winner. He stayed on well that day and will get 2kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice to help his cause. From gate four, he should keep his stable mate honest.AHSOis drawn in gate six and will be out to spoil the Maher & Eustace party. He went from jump to wire to win by one and a half lengths when making his debut over six furlongs and whilst he steps up in distance and takes on stronger here, he may well be up to the task in hand.
Race 5
Two 4yr old fillies could dominate the finish to this race and complete the exacta, but today’s value bet, AFFINITY BEYOND is taken to lead the field home. She is a speedy sort who has won four of her last five runs, the latest over five furlongs by half a length. She battled all the way down to the wire that day and although drawn the widest of them all in gate eleven, she should use that early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy. OUR BELLAGIO MISS followed up her penultimate run victory over this five furlong sprint with a third place finish next time out over the same trip, two lengths adrift of the winner. She jumped awkwardly that day, before making good late progress over the latter stages. She has a far kinder draw five and could pose the biggest threat to the top pick. MARWAY had finished second in his two runs prior to winning last time out over 1300M by one length. He returns from a lengthy 42 week break, but did win his only barrier trial to showcase his well-being and has his first run for his new trainer. If fully settled into his new surroundings he should be a force to be reconned with here.
Race 6
ELABORATEis seldom far off the action and looked the likely winner before being run out of it late to end up in third place last time out over twelve furlongs, just 1.3L back from the winner. He will have to negotiate a wide gate ten out of twelve, but he should turn in another solid performance today.GREY LIONhas recorded two encouraging last efforts, finishing just a neck behind the winner when second in his latest outing over eleven furlongs, this despite being bumped at the start and then reported to have suffered from heat stress. He jumps from draw seven and should be right up there when they hit the line.WOLFEalso finished second in his latest run, but in his case, over ten furlongs, just under a length behind the winner. He steps up in distance here, but he may well be looking for this greater test of stamina. From his gate two, he should be included in all bets.
Race 7
STORMY ROCKcame the widest into the home straight before finishing second in his last start over 1300M, just a head back from the winner and might well have won that contest but for that. He did win his penultimate run over the same distance when returning from a 23 week absence and has his peak run today. As such, he is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card.CATAPULThas consistent formlines to his name and was crowded at the jump of his last start over 1300M and finding himself at the back of the field, before finishing strongly to end up in fifth place, just under two and a half lengths behind the victor. He faces a wide draw twelve, but given his style of running, he is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start picking off the frontrunners over the closing stages of the race. He could be the biggest danger to the former.JACK THE LADhas his first outing since returning from a 15 week rest, but did finish second and third in his two barrier trials to prove his fitness. He won his penultimate start over seven furlongs before being a tad disappointing next time out over a mile, finishing 7.2L behind the winner, but it should be noted that the form of that last race has stood up well. He drops to what appears to be a more suitable distance and, from gate three, he should be involved in the finish.
