PeTeBe shares his Goulburn tips and picks for Sunday 9 May 2021.
Best Bet: EGYPTIAN MISSILE (Race 4)
Value Bet: CAESARS PALACE (Race 7)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7)
EGYPTIAN MISSILE is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys, but she has posted two solid last runs, finishing second in the latest over six furlongs, just a neck behind the winner. She attracted plenty of betting support that day, but came three wide into the home straight, then hit the front at the 200M mark, before being collared in the shadow of the post. She is drawn the widest of them all in gate nine, but nevertheless is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card.
DON LUIGI had finished second in his last two outings prior to ending up in fourth place last time out over 1100m, just under three lengths back from the winner. He overraced in the middle stages that day and from today’s draw six, he should be right up there when they hit the line.
RATHVILLY MISS is another 4yr old filly in the race. She had consistent formlines to her name before disappointing last time out when tenth over seven furlongs, finishing 7.8L adrift of the victor and was immediately rested for 23 weeks. She returns here after finishing fourth in her only barrier trial. She has a handy draw two and should be involved in the finish.
There are three unraced runners in the field, so as is always the case in these types of races, a keen eye should be kept on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether the connections believe that they can win first time out. Of the raced runners, MARCASSIN may prove to be the best. He jumped awkwardly before finishing second in his last outing over seven furlongs, 1.8L behind the winner. He has his first run since a lengthy 45-week absence, during which time he was gelded, but has had the benefit of three barrier trials, finishing second in the latest to showcase his well-being. He will have to deal with a wide gate fourteen, but it should be noted that the form of his last race has stood up very well with no less than seven runners out of the contest subsequently winning.
DUKE OF BUCKINGHAM finished second in his latest outing over 1300M, 1.8L behind the winner when returning from a 27-week break. He has also had two barrier trials since that race, winning the first and finishing second in the latest. He jumps from draw seven and should be right up there in the mix.
DARLENE is a 3yr old filly taking on males, but she was making good late progress when second last time out over six furlongs, just a head back from the victor. She was returning from a longer 41 week absence that day and whilst facing a wide gate eleven, she should still give a good account of herself here.
MAJESTIC WINGS is a 3yr old filly taking on boys, but she has had two solid last runs, battling all the way down to the wire when finishing second last time out over seven furlongs, failing by just a short-head to secure victory. She stayed on well from second last entering the straight that day and from her cozy draw four, she will be looking to go one better today.
ZARIZ NO OTHER is seldom far off the action and was making good late progress when finishing second in his last outing over 1460M, just a head back from the winner. The gelding is drawn one outside the top pick and should be respected in this line-up.
BOMBARDEO shifted out wide entering the home straight, but then stayed on well to end up in sixth place in his last outing over a mile, just over six lengths adrift of the victor, but the form of that race has been franked. He gets draw three and should be included in all bets.
CAESARS PALACE sped into the lead when entering the home straight and then fought on resolutely all the way down the straight, only to be collared shortly before the winning post and been denied victory by just over half a length over this c&d. He jumps from gate four and is made the value bet on the day’s program.
Two 3yr old fillies could chase him home, with the slight preference going to BELLA VIOLET who has finished second in her last three runs, the latest over seven furlongs where she was beaten a short-head. She must have though that she had gone one better that day when she struck the front entering the home straight, only to be snared on the line. She will have to overcome draw twelve, but she is sure to turn in another honest performance today.
BLUE JAGER has only had the two runs to date, finishing second in both outings, the latest over 1500M, 3.3L behind the winner. She was running on well that day, suggesting that she should appreciate the extra ground on offer here. She is drawn the widest of them all in gate sixteen but gets the services of ex-SA jockey Keagan Latham, so will get all the necessary assistance from the saddle.