Winning Form brings us their best bets and tips for racing at Warwick Farm in Australia.
Best Bet: NIKOHLI BEAGLE (Race 4)
Value Bet: REINVEST (Race 7)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7)
The day’s best bet, NIKOHLI BEAGLE missed out on his hat-trick when finishing fifth last time out over six furlongs, just under three lengths behind the winner, but he had nothing go his way that day, jumping awkwardly and then taking a bump shortly after the start and then only seeing daylight at the 280M mark, but finishing his race off well. He was then relegated to fifth spot after an objection against him for interference at the 200M pole was upheld. The form of that race has stood up well with two runners from that contest subsequently winning. From his handy draw three, he could prove difficult to topple in this line-up.
INVINCIBLE KISS is a 6yr old mare taking on the boys, but she goes for her trio of wins here after wins over five furlongs and the latest by a neck over 1100M. She gets gate six and will have 3kgs taken off her back thanks to her claiming apprentice to aid her cause.
REMLAPS GEM raced up with the pace and then stayed on well to end up in fourth place in his latest outing over five furlongs, just over two lengths back from the winner. He has the widest draw of them all in gate nine, but he nevertheless should be involved in the finish.
MIRACLE STREET has finished second in her last two starts, the latest over five furlongs when two lengths back from the winner, this after having won over five furlongs three runs back. She had to be shifted sharply off the heels runners in front of her that day but recovered well to finish off her race strongly. She jumps from gate eight and could be the one that they all have to beat.
EGYPTIAN MISSILE is drawn one outside the top choice and came the widest into the home turn before finishing strongly to win her last outing over six furlongs by 1.8L. On that effort, she could emerge as the biggest danger to the top pick.
SUR LA MER has only had the three runs to date, posting two second-place finishes in her first two starts and then being rewarded for that consistency with a 1.8L victory last time out over six furlongs. She battled all the way down to the wire that day and from draw two, she could prove good enough to notch up a quick double.
This looks to be a tricky contest, so some caution is advised. The tentative first selection goes to BETHENCOURT who has finished closer to the winner in his last three outings, the latest when third over 1500M, 0.7L behind the winner. He attracted plenty of betting support that day, but he did not get the clearest of passages in the home straight, so that effort was most encouraging. He will have to negotiate draw eight, but he will be looking to make amends today.
KUTAYHA is seldom far off the action and jumped awkwardly before being denied a clear run in the straight to finish fourth, just under a length adrift of the victor last time out. He has draw five and has his peak run since returning from a 19-week rest. In all likelihood, he should turn in another honest performance here.
BETTY BLOOMS is a 5yr old mare taking on males, but she has won two of her last three starts, the latest victory coming over 1500M by a head last time out. She struck the front at the 100M mark that day and stayed on bravely to claim the narrow win. She faces a wide draw eleven, but on the plus side, she gets the services of ex-SA jockey Keagan Latham, so will get all the necessary assistance from the saddle and should be included in all bets.
With the late scratchings of two of his biggest rivals, the way may have been cleared for today’s value bet, REINVEST to chalk up his third career victory. He has only had the three runs to date and missed out on his hat-trick when finishing second last time out when stepping up to ten furlongs, going down by just a head.
He was immediately rested for a lengthy 53 weeks but returns here after having had two barrier trials, winning the first of those. He has a cozy gate five and the fact that his connections have brought him back into racing after such a lengthy absence would seem to suggest that they believe that he still has something more to offer them.
ADELAIDE’S LIGHT also missed out on his hat-trick when ending up in third place in his last outing over seven furlongs, just under a half-length back from the winner. His record of six runs for two wins, one second and one third-place finishes speaks for itself and from a kinder gate two, he should be considered a big runner today.
PAPAL WARRIOR showed marked improvement when finishing second in his last outing over 1300M, beaten a short-head, this despite coming five wide into the home straight. The form of that race has been franked and from draw four, and having his peak run after returning from an 18-week absence, he should not be lightly dismissed today.