Australian racing tips – Thursday 29 September 2022 – Hawkesbury

Best Bet: CAMINO REAL (Race 8)

Value Bet: OXFORD VISION (Race 7)

Jackpot (race 6 – 9).

Cost: R90.00  

Race 6.

DIMAGGIO followed up his penultimate run victory over six furlongs with a second place finish next time out over 1300M, beaten a short-head in the shadow of the post. He raced wide without cover that day, so should be considered an unlucky loser. From draw six, he looks to be the one that they all have to beat.

DIAMOND DIESEL won over 1100M and six furlongs four and three runs back and came four wide into the home straight last time out, finishing third over a mile, just over two and a half lengths behind the winner and the form of that race has been franked. From his handy gate two, he should be right up there when they hit the line.

VIENNA RAIN was a tad disappointing in his penultimate run over six furlongs, but then finished fourth in his next outing over the same sprint trip, 1.7L back from the winner and the form of that race has also been franked. The gelding stayed on well that day, suggesting that the extra ground on offer here will not be an issue. His gate five will do him no harm.

Race 7.

The day’s value bet, OXFORD VISION had finished second in his two runs prior to winning his last outing over five furlongs by 1.3L, despite jumping awkwardly and racing wide without cover before coming three wide into the home straight. He was returning from a 20 week break that day and although drawn wideish in gate seven, a quick double in certainly on the cards to give trainer Kim Waugh the first two legs of the Jackpot.

A 4yr old and a 3yr old filly from the Bjorn Baker stable could chase him home, with the slight preference going to SINALOA who has finished closer to the winner in each of her last three runs, the latest when second over 1300M, two lengths adrift of the victor. She battled all the way down to the wire in that contest and whilst returning from a 21 week break, she has won both of her barrier trials to showcase her well-being. From gate five, she makes plenty of appeal here.

Her stable mate, ACAPPELLA SUN has cracked pole position and is seldom far off the action. She tried to go from jump to wire before ending up in third place last time out over 1100M, just a neck behind the winner. She attracted plenty of betting support that day and will be hoping to make amends today.

Race 8.

CAMINO REAL had finished second in her two starts prior to finishing third last time out over 1300M, 6.3L adrift of the winner, but she did come the widest of them all into the home stretch that day, costing herself valuable ground. The form of that race has however been franked and she has her first run since a 17 week rest, but she has turned in two encouraging barrier trials to prove her fitness. She gets a useful draw two and is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card.

ESTILETE has only had the two runs to date, finishing eighth on debut over 1300M, but then showing the expected improvement to win by three and a half lengths over the same trip at the second time of asking. She showed plenty of pace that day and from a wideish draw eight, she is likely to adopt similar tactics today.

IRISH KISSES resumes after a slightly shorter 15 week absence, but has won her only barrier trial. She has consistent formlines to her name, finishing fourth last time out over seven furlongs, just under two lengths behind the winner. She is drawn one outside the latter and should be involved in the finish.

Race 9.

This looks to be a tricky race to end off the Jackpot with plenty of runners in with a realistic chance of finding the winner’s box, so some caution is suggested.

COOL KAAP was slow away and raced green, but still managed to win by one length first time out over six furlongs. He would have learnt from that experience and with the further natural improvement that can be expected, he could be the one that they all have to beat. The colt does return from a 13 week rest, but has had the one barrier trial, where he finished fifth and he is sure to put his pole position to good use.

FULLER is the stable companion to the top choice who won his penultimate start over six furlongs and then finished nineth next time out over 1300M, just under four and a half lengths behind the winner, when returning from a 20 week break. He has pulled a cozy draw three and makes a solid back-up for the powerful Chris Waller yard.

PERSEVERE showed marked improvement to win his maiden race last time out over 1300M when putting three and a half lengths between himself and the opposition. The gelding was returning from a 40 week absence that day and the fact that his connections have brought him back into racing after such a lengthy absence would seem to suggest that they believe that he still has something more to offer them. He jumps from gate four and should be included in all bets.