Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Thursday’s racing coming your way from Newcastle on 30 March 2023.
Best Bet: JEDIBEEL (Race 8)
Value Bet: IN LOVE AND WAR (Race 6)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8)
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
1 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
2 | 6 | 10 |
|
Cost: R54.00
Race 5
MAGADAN followed up his penultimate run victory over a mile with a second place finish next time out over the same journey, just a half-length back from the winner, but he came three wide approaching the home turn that day, before delivering a powerful finish to just fail to collar the victor. He faces a wide draw nine, but he is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start to pick off the front runners over the latter part of the race.
MIRROR QUEEN is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys and is drawn one inside the top choice, but she won over 2100M three runs back and then had two outings over seven furlongs, the latest when just over five lengths back from the winner. The form of that race has been franked and she has her peak run after returning from a 22-week break and may well do better over what appears to be a more suitable distance.
ROCCAFORTE raced just behind the leaders and looked all over a winner at the 200M mark, before being snared in the shadow of the post for a short-head loss. The gelding will have to overcome a wide gate ten, but he should use his early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy.
Race 6
Three 3yr old fillies could fight out the finish to this race and complete the trifecta, but the day’s value bet, IN LOVE AND WAR is taken to lead the field home. She had to be held up at the top of the home straight, but struck the front at the 250M pole before holding off all the late challengers in the dash down to the wire to record her maiden victory last time out over a mile by a half-length. She takes on stronger here, but from draw seven, she may well be up to the task at hand.
FLEUR DU MONDE won over 1500M on debut, albeit by just a short-head. She raced in second spot before kicking clear of the field entering the home stretch and then kept on finding more all the way down to the wire. She would have learnt from that experience and with the natural improvement that can be expected, she should be right up there when they hit the line. She has also had a subsequent barrier trial and gets a handy draw two.
REGAL INHERITANCE had her consistency rewarded with her maiden victory last time out over seven furlongs by a head. She finished well to get up in the final stride and from one gate outside the latter, she should be included in all bets.
Race 7
THE POACHER came four wide into the home stretch, but still managed to battle all the way down to the wire to finish fourth last time out over six furlongs, just over two and a half lengths adrift of the winner. The gelding has pulled a useful gate four and could be the one that they all have to beat.
He renews his rivalry with LOCH EAGLE who finished sixth in the race mentioned above, just over three and a half lengths back from the winner, when returning from a 13-week rest. The gelding raced three wide into the home stretch from some way back, but finished off his race well. He is drawn wide in gate eleven and as the pair meet on the same weight terms today, he may just have to settle for the same result.
REGGIE’S BOY stayed on well to finish third in his latest outing over seven furlongs, 6.3L behind the winner, but he did come three wide approaching the home turn, costing himself valuable ground. He has a wideish draw eight, but he should not be lightly overlooked in this line-up.
Race 8
JEDIBEEL won first time out over 1100M by putting 2.8L between himself and the opposition, despite jumping awkwardly and racing three wide without cover and could be just about anything. He would have come on further with the run under his belt and whilst drawn wide in gate nine, he is a speedy sort who should be able to work his way across without using up too much gas. As such, he is made the best bet on the day’s card.
KAREDADA finished fifth on debut over five furlongs and then showed the expected improvement to win by six lengths next time out when stepping up to six furlongs and the form of that race has stood up well with four runners out of that contest subsequently winning. The gelding returns from a 22-week break, but has had the benefit of having had two barrier trials. From gate three, he could be the biggest danger top the top pick.
KEIKOKU has finished closer to the winner in each of his last three runs, the latest when third over six furlongs, just under one and a half lengths adrift of the victor, when returning from a 23 week absence. He shifted out in the home straight in that event, so should have finished closer to the victor than he is officially recorded. He jumps from a wideish gate eight and should be involved in the finish.
