Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Tuesday’s racing coming your way from Tamworth on 29 November 2022.
Best Bet: CANNY PROSPECT (Race 5)
Value Bet: ARLIEBEL (Race 7)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8)
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
8 | 8 | 6 | 2 |
1 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | 10 |
Cost: R54.00
Race 5
CANNY PROSPECT has finished closer to the winner in each of his last three runs, the latest when third over six furlongs, just a neck behind the winner. He raced up with the leaders that day and then battled all the way down to the wire. The form of that race has been franked and from his handy draw three, he is made the best bet on the day’s card.
FENTON is seldom far off the action, finishing third last time out over six furlongs, just under two lengths back from the winner. He jumped awkwardly that day, but finished off his race well. The gelding return from an 11-week rest without having had the benefit of a barrier trial, so his fitness will have to be taken on trust, but he is drawn one inside the top choice and could emerge as his biggest danger.
HAMMOON THUNDER raced wide and was out of his ground turning for home, but finished strongly over the closing stages to end up in fourth place when making his debut over five furlongs, just under five lengths behind the winner. He would have learnt from that experience and with the natural improvement that can be expected, he should be involved in the finish, jumping from gate four. There is an unraced runner in the field, so keep an eye on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether his connections believe that they can win first time out. Any betting support for him should be respected.
Race 6
REALLY SERIOUS is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys, but she has consistent formlines to her name, finishing second last time out over 1300M, 3.3L back from the winner, this despite having to be held up in the home straight and only seeing daylight at the 100M mark. She has a wideish draw eight, but she is likely to turn in another honest performance today.
TOUGH CASE stayed on well last time out when fifth over 1300m, 4.2L behind the winner, but that was on very heavy going and he is likely to prefer the better underfoot conditions here. He will have to negotiate draw ten, but he should be right up there when they hit the line.
INDIAN THUNDER kicked clear of the field at the 400M pole and then proceeded to put three and a half lengths between himself and the opposition to win his last outing over seven furlongs, easing down approaching the line. He faces a wide draw eleven, but on the plus side, he will get 3kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice.
Race 7
A 4yr old and a 3yr old filly, as well as a 5yr mare, could fight out the finish to this race and complete the trifecta, but the top pick goes to ARLIEBEL who has her hat-trick run after victories over 1100M and the latest over six furlongs by 0.8L. She raced wide throughout on that occasion and was forced even wider entering the home straight, but she finished well to claim her second career victory. She faces a wide gate ten, but nonetheless, she is taken to be the value bet on the day’s card.
POWERFUL PEG on the other hand has cracked pole position. She has only had the three starts to date and showed solid improvement to win last time out over six furlongs, albeit by just a neck and was immediately rest for 17 weeks. She returns here have posted two encouraging barrier trials and should be considered a big runner in this line-up.
LEAVE ME BE has consistent formlines to his credit and stayed on well when finishing third last time out over 1100M, 3.8L adrift of the victor. She faces a wide draw eleven, but she should be doing her best work late and is likely to post another honest performance to day.
Race 8
KEEP ME LOYAL has recorded two solid last runs, winning his penultimate start over five furlongs and then finishing second in his latest outing over the same sprint trip, just a head behind the winner. He tried to go from jump to wire that day and from a handy draw three, he is likely to adopt the same tactics today.
DEMITASSE has won two of his last three runs, the last over five furlongs by one length, when returning from a 20-week break, notwithstanding being hampered at the start and then being held up in the home stretch, only seeing daylight at the 200m mark. He will have to overcome a wide draw fourteen out of eighteen, but he will have ex-SA jockey Donovan Dillon in the irons, so will get all the necessary assistance from the saddle.
IRON HAT was slow away, but recovered quickly to take up the running, before ending up in fourth spot last time out over 1100M, 2.2L off the winner. He is sure to put his pole position to good use and should be included in all bets.
