Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Tuesday’s racing coming your way from Bathurst on 6 December 2022.
Best Bet: CHEAP SHOT (Race 7)
Value Bet: WOLF QUEEN (Race 6)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7)
There are four unraced runners in the field, so as is always the case in these types of races, a keen eye should be kept on the betting markets to determine whether any of the connections believe that they can win first time out. Any betting support for a runner or runners should be respected. Of the raced runners NONSHALAANT may well prove to be the best. He is seldom far off the action, his last three outings over five furlongs yielding two seconds and a third last time out, just over three and a half lengths behind the winner, but he was slow away that day and had to be held up at the 200M mark, before finishing off his race well. The gelding returns from a 17-week break, but has had the one barrier trial and whilst drawn wide in gate eleven, on the plus side he will have 1.5kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice.
EAST HARLEM finished sixth on debut over 1100M, 7.3L adrift of the victor and was immediately rested for 20 weeks. He returns here after having won both of his barrier trials to showcase his well-being. The gelding is drawn even wider out in gate fifteen, but he would have learnt from that racing experience and with the natural improvement that can be expected, he could be the biggest threat to the top choice.
SHUFFLE AGAIN was hampered at the 50M mark when finishing fifth first time out over five furlongs, just under five lengths back from the winner. He would have come on with that run under his belt and although drawn the widest of them all in gate fifteen, but he gets a set of blinkers fitted for the first time and if these have the desired effect, he should be a big runner here.
DE FORERUNNER had his consistency rewarded with a victory last time out over six furlongs, albeit by just a short-head. He raced three wide without cover on that occasion and shifted out in the home straight, but battled all the way down to the wire. The gelding is well drawn in gate two and has his first run after a 51-week spell, but did finish third in his only barrier trial. The fact that his connections have brought him back into racing after such a lengthy absence would seem to suggest that they believe that he still has something more to offer them.
BROOKLYN STAR is a 6yr old mare taking on the boys, but she is another with consistent formlines to her name and followed up her penultimate run victory over five furlongs with a second-place finish next time out over the same sprint trip, just a half-length behind the winner. She faces a wide draw ten, but she will get 1.5kgs removed from her allocated weight courtesy of her claiming apprentice and should be doing her best work late.
HAMPTON COVE has finished closer to the winner in each of his last three runs, the latest when second over 1100M, just head back from the winner. He tried to go from jump to wire that day and from his handy draw three, he is likely to attempt similar tactics today.
Two 4yr old and a 3yr old filly could fight out the finish to this race and complete the trifecta, but the day’s value bet WOLF QUEEN could lead the field home. She raced three wide without cover but finished well to end up in fifth spot last time out over five furlongs, just under six lengths behind the winner. She resumes after a 23-week absence, but has won and finished fifth in her two barrier trials to prove her fitness and whilst draw wide in gate eleven, she looks the one to side with here.
SINALOA is the stable companion to the top choice who was bumped at the start and found herself at the tail of the field, but finished her race off strongly and a repeat of that effort would see her involved in the finish. From her kinder draw seven, she makes a solid backup for the yard.
ENZINA won over five furlongs three runs back and then showed plenty of toe to finish fifth last time out over five furlongs, 2.8L back from the victor. She jumps from a handy gate two and could prove difficult to reel in over the latter stages.
CHEAP SHOT is two for two, winning both events over 1100M, the latest by 0.8L. He sat second last that day but produced a powerful finish to mow down the opposition over the closing stages, suggesting that the extra ground on offer here will be to his liking. He hung out throughout that race and was returning from a 19-week absence, but the form of that race has been franked and whilst he will have to negotiate draw eleven, he is nevertheless taken to be the best bet on the day’s card.
COVALENT is a 3yr old filly taking on males and went from gun to tape to win her last start over 1300M by half a length. She stayed on well that day and from gate six, she should keep the top pick honest.
POSSIBLY SO had finished second in his two outings prior to finishing fifth last time out over 1700M, 13L adrift of the winner, but it should be noted that he lost four lengths at the start and then came four wide approaching the home turn, so that effort is best ignored. He returns from a 16-week rest but has had the benefit of two barrier trials. From a useful draw three and with having the services of a 2kg claiming apprentice, he should not be lightly dismissed.