Australian racing tips – Wednesday 28 September 2022 – Rosehill Gardens

Best Bet: STRAY (Race 6)

Value Bet: ANG POW (Race 7)

Jackpot (race 4 – 7).

Cost: R54.00  

Race 4.

WILLINGA RUFIO has won two of his last three outings and run second in the other, the latest over a mile when putting 2.8L between himself and the opposition. He was returning from a 12 week rest that day and went from jump to wire. He does get a wideish gate eight, but on the plus side, he will have 1.5kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice and could prove difficult to reel in over the closing stages.

JUPITUS had his consistency rewarded with a one length victory last time out over 1500M, despite being held up between the 400M and 300M marks. The gelding gets a handy draw two and should be right up there when they hit the line.

LUKEY LUKE won over ten furlongs three runs back and then disappointed in his penultimate start over the same journey, but that was in a Group 3 event in very heavy going. The gelding was returning from a 21 week break when finishing fourth last time out over seven furlongs, 1.8L back from the winner, but he had to be eased at the 1000M pole and then came the widest of them all into the home straight, so that effort was encouraging. He has pulled a gate four and will have ex-SA jockey Glyn Schofield in the irons, so will get all the necessary assistance from the saddle.   

Race 5.

VIVID FLASH put her disappointing penultimate run over 1300M behind her when finishing second last time out over the same c&d, just a head back from the winner. She was returning from an 18 week break that day and raced just behind the leaders, before quickened well over the latter stages of the contest. She has pulled a useful draw three and gets cheek pieces fitted for the first time. If these have the desired effect, she should be a big runner here.

AMATI is the stable companion to the top choice and is seldom far off the action, finishing fourth last time out over 1300M, just over two lengths behind the winner, when returning from a shorter 15 week rest. She did hang out all the way down the home stretch that day, which clearly did not help her cause. Jumping from gate six, she makes a solid back-up for the powerful Chris Waller yard.

EYE PEA OH followed up her penultimate run victory over six furlongs with a second place finish next time out over the same sprint trip, one length off the winner, but she overraced in the early stages and had to be eased off the heels of other runners at the 1000M mark. She led the field into the home straight that day, but was run out of it close to home. She will have to overcome a wide draw fifteen, but she should use her early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy.

Race 6.

STRAY is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys, but she was hampered shortly after the start and found herself towards the back of the field, before delivering a powerful finish to end up in fourth spot in her latest outing over seven furlongs, just a length behind the winner. She was returning from a 20 week absence that day and from pole position, she is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card.

NARITO has only had the three runs to date and missed out on his hat-trick after victories over 1100M and six furlongs when finishing eighth last time out over six furlongs, just under three lengths back from the winner, but he did not get the clearest of passages in the home straight in that contest, only seeing daylight at the 200M mark. He jumps from gate eight and could emerge as the biggest threat to the top choice.

ALBERICH is the Chris Waller stable companion to the latter who is drawn one inside him. The gelding has had just the two outings, winning over six furlongs on debut and then finishing a head second next time out when stepping up to seven furlongs, but he did hang in down the home straight that day. The gelding has had a barrier trial since that last outing and should be involved in the finish.

Race 7

The day’s value bet, ANG POW won his penultimate start over six furlongs and then finished eighth last time out over six furlongs, just over four lengths behind the winner, but he had nothing go his way that day. He jumped awkwardly and overraced in the middle stages and had to be steadied off the heels of other runners several times, before being held up until the 300M mark. He gets gate eight and with better luck in running today, he could prove hard to topple.

MARS MISSION has finished closer to the winner in each of his last three runs, the latest when sixth over seven furlongs, just over two and a half lengths adrift of the victor, notwithstanding racing three wide without cover. He returns from a 25 week break, but he has won both of his barrier trials to showcase his well-being. The gelding will have to negotiate a wide gate fifteen, but he is a speedy sort who should be able to work his way across without using up too much gas.

OMNI MAN showed marked improvement to win his latest outing over five furlongs by 1.3L, when returning from a 23 week absence. He on the other hand has a cozy gate two and if he is able to confirm that last effort, be could complete the trifecta.