Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Tuesday's racing coming your way from Scone on 16 April 2024.
Best Bet: GENTILESCHI (Race 8)
Value Bet: NAVAL COMMISSION (Race 6)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8)
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
4 | 6 | 12 | 8 |
6 | 16 | 11 | 2 |
3 | 8 | 6 |
|
Cost: R54.00
Race 5
A 3-year-old and a 4-year-old filly could fight out the finish to this race and complete the exacta, but SPLIT DECISION is taken to lead the field home. She has cracked pole position and has won two of her last three starts, the latest over five furlongs by a half length, when returning from a 12-week rest. She raced just behind the leaders that day and then struck the front at the 300M mark and then held off all the late challengers in the dash down to the wire. She has finished second in a subsequent barrier trial and will have 3kgs taken off her back thanks to her claiming apprentice.
AZAYAKA followed up her penultimate run victory over five furlongs with a fifth-place finish next time out over 1100M, 5.8L back from the winner, but she came the widest of them all into the home straight on that occasion. The filly has a handy draw three and will have ex-SA jockey Brandon Lerena in the irons, so will get all the necessary assistance from the saddle.
SIGHTSEER goes for his hat-trick after two victories over five furlongs, the latest by a half length, this despite jumping awkwardly, racing three wide without cover and hanging in all the way down the stretch. The gelding is drawn one outside the latter and returns from a 20-week rest, but has finished second in his only barrier trial.
Race 6
The day’s value bet, NAVAL COMMISSION won over 2100M three runs back, finished a disappointing twelfth in his penultimate start over 2300M, but that effort is best ignored as he suffered from heat stress and then second in his latest outing when dropping down to a mile, two lengths back from the winner. He was returning from a 27-week break and did jump awkwardly that day, finding himself towards the rear of the field, but delivered a powerful finish over the closing stages. The gelding will have to negotiate a wide draw fourteen, but he should be doing his best work late.
ROCKBARTON ICE is seldom far off the action and although recorded as finishing eighth last time out over 1500M, he was just over two lengths and a half lengths back from the winner. It should however be noted that he was slow away in that event, had to be held up in the home straight until the 300M mark, before taking a heavy bump at the 200M pole, so he had his excuses. From his kinder gate five, he should be right up there when they hit the line.
OVERICE is a 5-year-old mare taking on the boys, but she jumped awkwardly bumping another runner, before staying on well to finish second last time out over a mile, two and a half lengths adrift of the victor. The form of that race has been franked and whilst draw wide in gate thirteen, she is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start to pick off the front runners over the latter part of the race.
Race 7
FULD’S DOUBT has consistent formlines to her name and followed up her penultimate run victory over five furlongs with a second-place finish next time out over the same sprint trip, just a head back from the winner, but she was crowded at the start and raced four wide without cover, before finishing off her race well, so that effort was encouraging. She has a useful draw four and will be having her peak run after returning from a 21-week spell.
ROMAN MISS made solid improvement to win her last start over five furlongs by 2.8L, this after going from jump to wire and returning from an 18-week rest. She is drawn one outside the top pick and seems capable of chalking up a quick double.
ROCKIN’ MILLIE won her penultimate outing over five furlongs and then finished fourth next time out when stepping up to 1100M, two lengths back from the winner. She raced just behind the frontrunners that day before staying on well over the latter stages. The filly faces a wide gate sixteen, but she should use her early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy.
Race 8
Two 3-year-old fillies could dominate the finish to this race and secure the exacta, but the day’s best bet, GENTILESCHI could be the better. She won her maiden race last time out over 1300M at this track at the third time of asking by putting 2.3L between herself and the opposition. she was returning from a 22-week break that day and raced three wide throughout, but the form of that race has been franked. The filly takes on stronger here, but she has pulled a cosy draw four and could well be up to the task at hand.
ZIPPO IDEA missed out on her hat-trick after victories over six and seven furlongs when finishing eleventh last time out over 1500M, three lengths behind the winner, but she did not get the clearest of passages down the home straight.
Nevertheless, she was immediately rested for 10 weeks and returns here without having had the benefit of a barrier trial, so her fitness will have to be taken on trust and she will have to deal with a wide draw twelve, but she will be hoping to bounce back to winning ways here and could be the biggest threat to the top choice, SHEN GUI is penultimate start over seven furlongs and then finished second over the same journey next time out, just a length behind the winner. The gelding faces an even wider gate eighteen, but he should be doing his best work late to be involved in the finish.
